Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-10
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk
Rewards: 50 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.07. up 0.03 over the period, from 0.04. Range 0.04 to 0.07. 45 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.08	303	303
0.09	650	953
0.10	248	1,201
0.11	197	1,398
0.12	449	1,847
0.13	433	2,280
0.14	469	2,749
0.15	2,144	4,892
0.16	187	5,079
0.18	102	5,181
0.19	77	5,258
0.20	427	5,685

Spread0.02Mid0.07

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.06	294	294
0.05	240	534
0.04	892	1,427
0.03	1,008	2,435
0.02	10,717	13,152
0.01	77,097	90,249

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.94	294	294
0.95	240	534
0.96	892	1,427
0.97	1,008	2,435
0.98	10,717	13,152
0.99	77,097	90,249

Spread0.02Mid0.93

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.92	303	303
0.91	650	953
0.90	248	1,201
0.89	197	1,398
0.88	449	1,847
0.87	433	2,280
0.86	469	2,749
0.85	2,144	4,892
0.84	187	5,079
0.82	102	5,181
0.81	77	5,258
0.80	427	5,685

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
sebyastiens	Yes	2,000
turboshlomo	Yes	1,017.93
ComradeCat	Yes	694.55
OsvaldoMarianao27	Yes	386
2B9S	Yes	131
WanderingPanda	Yes	75.5
justwant5	Yes	34.17
0x0ab1435a32D29583772d6f4317b838eD8cC07017-1772214186459	Yes	33.33
yimengweima	Yes	18
Caaren	Yes	10
Miles07	Yes	5
0xa5ef…2966	No	3,242.55
hetacz	No	500
Bitgod	No	210
CaprioDiLeo	No	197.54
Majas	No	112.26
Haradwaith	No	76.56
0x279C5de35108AFC30b99f09e595555B428E92b82-1777882786715	No	67.4

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
02:47:42	SELL	No	0.9108441193	36	$32.37
02:47:06	SELL	No	0.92	100	$92.00
02:47:06	SELL	No	0.92	28	$25.76
02:47:03	BUY	Yes	0.0707317792	1,018	$72.00
02:47:03	BUY	Yes	0.09	50	$4.50
01:40:43	BUY	No	0.95	100	$95.00
00:13:15	SELL	Yes	0.05	15	$0.75
23:11:09	BUY	Yes	0.06	72	$4.32
23:10:03	BUY	No	0.95	43	$40.38
08:49:09	BUY	Yes	0.0599999988	33	$2.00
20:11:07	BUY	Yes	0.0585365848	34	$2.00
18:47:12	BUY	No	0.96	300	$288.00
15:09:42	BUY	No	0.96	54	$51.84
15:09:42	BUY	No	0.96	5	$4.80
15:09:34	BUY	No	0.96	27	$25.92
15:08:00	BUY	No	0.98	18	$17.64