Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-04
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk
Rewards: 50 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.20. down 0.11 over the period, from 0.30. Range 0.17 to 0.32. 31 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.20	327	327
0.21	509	835
0.22	46	882
0.23	30	912
0.24	229	1,141
0.25	287	1,428
0.26	138	1,566
0.27	182	1,748
0.28	159	1,907
0.29	130	2,037
0.30	275	2,312
0.31	7	2,319

Spread0.01Mid0.20

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.19	5,524	5,524
0.18	361	5,884
0.17	310	6,194
0.16	6	6,200
0.15	5	6,205
0.14	9	6,215
0.13	24	6,239
0.12	35	6,274
0.11	39	6,313
0.10	262	6,575
0.09	22,222	28,797
0.08	35	28,832

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.81	5,524	5,524
0.82	361	5,884
0.83	310	6,194
0.84	6	6,200
0.85	5	6,205
0.86	9	6,215
0.87	24	6,239
0.88	35	6,274
0.89	39	6,313
0.90	262	6,575
0.91	22,222	28,797
0.92	35	28,832

Spread0.01Mid0.81

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.80	327	327
0.79	509	835
0.78	46	882
0.77	30	912
0.76	229	1,141
0.75	287	1,428
0.74	138	1,566
0.73	182	1,748
0.72	159	1,907
0.71	130	2,037
0.70	275	2,312
0.69	7	2,319

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Demet3r	Yes	300
Zenef	Yes	250
AndreaPirlo	Yes	214
oboltusovao	Yes	112.5
WanderingPanda	Yes	74.71
whereismymoney	Yes	70
OsvaldoMarianao27	Yes	50
IgorBgd	Yes	49.78
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9	Yes	30.95
0xf825…2e2b	Yes	27.78
TheGreatBeta	Yes	27
popcode28	Yes	25
jay9090	Yes	19.05
justwant5	Yes	19.05
televisionloud	Yes	15.06
wrin	Yes	11
spacexstar	Yes	7
kroko	Yes	7
0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396	Yes	5.1
tradeo39	Yes	5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
23:18:30	BUY	No	0.81	30	$24.30
23:18:19	BUY	No	0.81	27	$21.92
21:23:58	BUY	Yes	0.2	25	$5.00
17:03:01	BUY	Yes	0.2	19	$3.80
15:40:21	BUY	Yes	0.2099999895	19	$4.00
15:13:43	SELL	No	0.79	18	$14.22
15:13:43	BUY	Yes	0.21	18	$3.78
15:13:42	BUY	Yes	0.21	18	$3.78
15:07:07	BUY	Yes	0.21	7	$1.47
15:07:01	BUY	Yes	0.21	50	$10.50
14:39:36	BUY	No	0.81	4	$3.00
14:38:21	BUY	Yes	0.2099999895	5	$1.00
14:37:55	SELL	No	0.79	14	$11.28
14:37:54	BUY	Yes	0.2099999895	14	$3.00
09:23:40	SELL	No	0.73	2	$1.12
09:20:28	SELL	No	0.73	5	$3.70
09:04:30	SELL	No	0.75	5	$3.85
08:56:34	SELL	No	0.75	5	$3.95
08:17:01	BUY	Yes	0.18	214	$38.52
08:17:01	BUY	Yes	0.1960606061	33	$6.47
08:17:01	BUY	Yes	0.19	50	$9.50
07:43:45	BUY	Yes	0.1799999986	28	$5.00
07:29:34	SELL	Yes	0.18	10	$1.73
07:29:09	SELL	Yes	0.18	1	$0.11
07:29:07	BUY	No	0.819999989	9	$7.47