Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-04
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.011. down 0.143 over the period, from 0.155. Range 0.011 to 0.155. 31 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.013	52	52
0.014	30	82
0.015	85	167
0.016	515	681
0.020	12	693
0.021	45	739
0.022	60	799
0.023	152	951
0.024	81	1,031
0.025	55	1,086
0.028	36	1,122
0.030	10	1,132

Spread0.003Mid0.011

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.010	1,970	1,970
0.009	2,805	4,775
0.008	22	4,797
0.007	2,856	7,653
0.006	3,111	10,764
0.005	11,060	21,824
0.004	13,850	35,674
0.003	15,500	51,174
0.002	15,600	66,774
0.001	16,093	82,867

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.990	1,970	1,970
0.991	2,805	4,775
0.992	22	4,797
0.993	2,856	7,653
0.994	3,111	10,764
0.995	11,060	21,824
0.996	13,850	35,674
0.997	15,500	51,174
0.998	15,600	66,774
0.999	16,093	82,867

Spread0.003Mid0.988

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.987	52	52
0.986	30	82
0.985	85	167
0.984	515	681
0.980	12	693
0.979	45	739
0.978	60	799
0.977	152	951
0.976	81	1,031
0.975	55	1,086
0.972	36	1,122
0.970	10	1,132

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
froku	Yes	872.39
ihrekunst	Yes	730
KTLA	Yes	392.99
Demet3r	Yes	300
MartinPNZ	Yes	159.98
oboltusovao	Yes	150
whereismymoney	Yes	70
justwant5	Yes	64.06
Etherapp	Yes	62.5
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9	Yes	54.99
2B9S	Yes	54.99
hfv	Yes	49.69
kroko	Yes	39.83
TheGreatBeta	Yes	27
a5533	Yes	20
ghorrock	Yes	5.02
0x9bc00ab06d792806AB26c1d27fA6E718F2A971b6-1790499478699	Yes	5
AndreaPirlo	No	1,106.98
0xa5ef…2966	No	1,085.51
clggzz	No	363.96

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
23:18:30	BUY	No	0.99	30	$29.70
23:18:18	BUY	No	0.989	27	$26.76
22:33:07	BUY	No	0.9876923077	65	$64.20
21:13:03	BUY	Yes	0.0171942237	872	$15.00
19:15:36	BUY	No	0.988	10	$9.87
17:18:33	BUY	No	0.988	10	$9.87
15:39:37	BUY	Yes	0.0156097561	64	$1.00
14:39:04	BUY	Yes	0.016	63	$1.00
13:15:49	BUY	No	0.99	5	$4.95
13:15:15	BUY	No	0.989	37	$36.43
12:23:04	BUY	No	0.989	10	$9.89
08:17:13	BUY	No	0.9869808058	1,042	$1028.41
08:05:01	BUY	Yes	0.014	60	$0.84
08:04:07	BUY	No	0.986	100	$98.60
02:44:12	BUY	No	0.987	10	$9.87
23:45:43	BUY	No	0.986	25	$24.65
23:45:27	BUY	No	0.9869999891	1	$1.00
23:45:25	BUY	No	0.986	71	$70.01
23:43:28	BUY	No	0.986	25	$24.65
23:43:28	BUY	No	0.9859999994	17	$16.54
17:30:18	BUY	No	0.9889999996	13	$13.00