California winter 2026-27 wetter or drier?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-03-16
Resolves by: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/climate-at-a-glance/statewide/time-series/4/pcp/3/2
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Drier. Currently 0.28. up 0.04 over the period, from 0.24. Range 0.20 to 0.67. 70 points.

Order book

Not connected

Drier

Live

Drier asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.48	20	20
0.83	11	31
0.84	50	81
0.91	5	86
0.95	195	281
0.96	325	606
0.97	542	1,148
0.98	813	1,960
0.99	1,788	3,748

Spread0.41Mid0.28

Drier bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.07	14	14
0.06	21	35
0.05	200	235
0.04	325	560
0.03	642	1,202
0.02	813	2,014
0.01	1,788	3,802

Wetter

Live

Wetter asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.93	14	14
0.94	21	35
0.95	200	235
0.96	325	560
0.97	642	1,202
0.98	813	2,014
0.99	1,788	3,802

Spread0.41Mid0.73

Wetter bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.52	20	20
0.17	11	31
0.16	50	81
0.09	5	86
0.05	195	281
0.04	325	606
0.03	542	1,148
0.02	813	1,960
0.01	1,788	3,748

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
AJSV	Drier	43.26
2B9S	Drier	20
0xd2d3E93862A6033d9648ef915B1525865c777bb3-1789898420454	Drier	20
Flobodan	Wetter	40
waniman	Wetter	23.26
0x34dBc406881A24B82F4b138e09169d9a004B1B63-1777004802209	Wetter	20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
03:49:54	BUY	Wetter	0.8599999983	23	$20.00
16:32:10	SELL	Wetter	0.71	20	$14.20
16:28:21	BUY	Wetter	0.69	20	$13.80
23:55:04	SELL	Wetter	0.64	20	$12.80
23:44:57	BUY	Drier	0.36	20	$7.20
10:31:28	BUY	Wetter	0.665	40	$26.60
20:55:51	BUY	Wetter	0.52	20	$10.40
20:50:57	BUY	Drier	0.23	20	$4.60