Flobodan
0xf71061cce6d1ab8aaef8f6928a4fdb5dfe15edc9
- Realised P&L
- $4.3k
- Volume
- $864.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,470
- Open portfolio
- $462.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,470
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$434.47at 0.519Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$383.05at 0.302Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils
- +$326.77at 0.997No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
- +$310.45at 0.753Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$307.52at 0.080US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 19:14 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.065 | $26.00 |
| 09-18 19:05 | Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.40 |
| 09-17 22:12 | Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | BUY | 0.83 | $18.58 |
| 09-16 13:25 | Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | BUY | 0.78 | $39.00 |
| 09-16 11:58 | Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | SELL | 0.22 | $11.00 |
| 09-15 19:37 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | SELL | 0.061 | $2.24 |
| 09-15 15:47 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | SELL | 0.066 | $2.43 |
| 09-15 10:55 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.78 |
| 09-14 18:39 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | SELL | 0.1217816893 | $10.83 |
| 09-14 09:07 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | SELL | 0.056 | $0.78 |
| 09-13 23:13 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $19.25 |
| 09-13 15:18 | Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 23:41 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 09-10 23:40 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 09-09 09:52 | Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.963 | $0.49 |