PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ptgybot

0x1e881cfda71ff172d294f505d6f3526e33c2697d

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$221.8k
Markets traded
2,352
Open portfolio
$0.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,352
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 20? · Yes0.0590.005$0.50$5.50
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20? · Yes0.0600.001$0.12$7.15
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 20? · Yes0.0200.002$0.07$0.92
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 19? · No0.0030.002$0.04$0.02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET · Up0.3200.000$0.00$9.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7AM ET · Down0.5090.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET · Down0.6000.000$0.00$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET · Up0.1200.000$0.00$30.14
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$0.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET · Down0.5320.000$0.00$26.63
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET · Up0.0800.000$0.00$0.16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET · Down0.0400.000$0.00$8.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET · Up0.0500.000$0.00$2.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 07:40Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?BUY0.125092$6.25
09-20 07:30Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?SELL0.1487975$4.76
09-20 07:20Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 20?BUY0.0983673015$5.00
09-20 07:19Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?BUY0.18$0.93
09-20 07:18Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?BUY0.1361341782$3.65
09-20 07:16Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20?SELL0.98$13.72
09-20 07:15Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 20?SELL0.85$8.50
09-20 03:03Will Ella Langley win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?SELL0.44$9.24
09-20 02:59Will Ella Langley win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?BUY0.51$10.71
09-20 00:04Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in September?SELL0.27$22.68
09-20 00:04Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September?SELL0.5561904762$11.68
09-19 23:57Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?SELL0.1889317613$5.29
09-19 22:46Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 19?SELL0.02$0.12
09-19 22:22Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?SELL0.3528571429$7.41
09-19 21:57Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 20?SELL0.02$0.42