0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by December 31?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.20. down 0.29 over the period, from 0.48. Range 0.20 to 0.51. 162 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.23	100	100
0.24	1,900	2,000
0.25	100	2,100
0.27	10	2,110
0.29	10	2,120
0.31	12	2,132
0.32	120	2,252
0.33	2,318	4,570
0.39	1,500	6,070
0.45	100	6,170
0.65	100	6,270
0.70	300	6,570

Spread0.07Mid0.20

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.16	200	200
0.15	700	900
0.14	1,000	1,900
0.13	5	1,905
0.12	20	1,925
0.11	250	2,175
0.10	10,000	12,175
0.08	5	12,180
0.07	57	12,237
0.05	750	12,987
0.04	750	13,737
0.03	1,858	15,595

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.84	200	200
0.85	700	900
0.86	1,000	1,900
0.87	5	1,905
0.88	20	1,925
0.89	250	2,175
0.90	10,000	12,175
0.92	5	12,180
0.93	57	12,237
0.95	750	12,987
0.96	750	13,737
0.97	1,858	15,595

Spread0.07Mid0.80

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.77	100	100
0.76	1,900	2,000
0.75	100	2,100
0.73	10	2,110
0.71	10	2,120
0.69	12	2,132
0.68	120	2,252
0.67	2,318	4,570
0.61	1,500	6,070
0.55	100	6,170
0.35	100	6,270
0.30	300	6,570

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x4b80C140cb0dA1AD22E0845ED9a18a238e9688c6-1780253829230	Yes	59.4
0x03141505C79F7D82eA4d426105Cb228B4eD92F6d-1766507216051	Yes	22
AJSV	No	41.2
Porx	No	14.98
Sheen60	No	12.05
NickLWorth	No	11
hspje89	No	2.17

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
18:11:28	BUY	No	0.81	11	$8.91
16:00:54	BUY	Yes	0.2525219791	59	$15.00
21:53:45	BUY	Yes	0.25	11	$2.75
15:03:39	BUY	No	0.8299999967	12	$10.00
16:44:28	BUY	No	0.9199999816	2	$2.00