wellwell
0xfd762c55f922f6c70d0eba46c15c7abdb3146c23
- Realised P&L
- $-59.93
- Volume
- $105.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,092
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,092
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$153.65at 0.143Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?
- +$128.04at 0.502Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?
- +$123.50at 0.844Will Trump post 50 or more times this week?
- +$94.20at 0.334Will Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?
- +$93.92at 0.260Hawks vs. Knicks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 14:58 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.9499999911 | $80.00 |
| 07-21 16:44 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 21:39 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.584 | $9.88 |
| 07-19 20:35 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5909999787 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 20:29 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.416 | $9.76 |
| 07-19 20:28 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4259999829 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 20:27 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.588 | $9.76 |
| 07-19 20:27 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.588 | $9.75 |
| 07-19 19:45 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6029999858 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 19:44 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6019999768 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 19:44 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.397 | $7.94 |
| 07-19 14:26 | Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? | BUY | 0.964 | $15.42 |
| 07-19 14:23 | X banned in any European country by December 31? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 07-19 14:22 | Will Bodø/Glimt win Norway Eliteserien? | BUY | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 07-19 14:18 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $163.99 |