unkown.guy
0xfc149577022f28e6bf94806cb1a2c36d4f074fda
- Realised P&L
- $-74.89
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $83.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.55at 0.934Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$5.94at 0.380Lula participates in debate before first round?
- +$2.50at 0.500Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 7, 2026?
- +$1.85at 0.630Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 8, 2026?
- +$1.79at 0.592Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 11:32 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.78 | $7.80 |
| 09-07 09:55 | Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 16:21 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 16:01 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $5.13 |
| 09-03 22:22 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.932 | $93.20 |
| 09-03 20:42 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.7689999923 | $10.00 |
| 09-02 11:10 | Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.7%? | BUY | 0.4909999617 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 00:43 | Solana Up or Down - September 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 22:24 | Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 2.1% and 2.3%? | BUY | 0.0869999272 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 22:24 | Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%? | BUY | 0.2289998353 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 22:19 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 35% and 39.9%? | BUY | 0.0097664709 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 22:10 | Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 21:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.58 | $5.80 |
| 09-01 21:31 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 21:27 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099998835 | $5.00 |