PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

EdwardLewis

0xebc0df15e665da95bf819105b723ae90042ffa41

Realised P&L
$216.4k
Volume
$22.47M
Markets traded
23,258
Open portfolio
$165.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded23,258
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.779$128.6k+$46.1k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.221$36.4k$46.1k
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.546$485.79+$458.01
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0670.531$16.91+$14.79
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.357$16.09+$14.68
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0000.024$11.57+$11.57
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9590.999$9.98+$0.39
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes0.0250.235$9.40+$8.40
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0670.272$8.61+$6.50
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.002$7.04$139.66
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.512$6.93+$6.82
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0360.016$6.08$7.50
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0080.006$5.11$1.03
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0000.015$4.85+$4.85
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0670.147$4.68+$2.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-10 02:31Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.945$0.99
05-10 02:31Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.9459994078$1.00
04-17 21:27Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.55$5.50
04-03 06:05Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?SELL0.446$42.37
03-27 18:04Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?SELL0.993$8.24
03-27 18:00Will Italy be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?SELL0.99$59.40
03-27 16:07Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 28?BUY0.997$34.90
03-27 16:07Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 28?BUY0.52$18.20
03-27 16:07Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 28?BUY0.99$34.65
03-27 16:07Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on March 28?BUY0.9697337873$33.95
03-27 16:07Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 28?BUY0.91$31.85
03-27 16:07Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 28?BUY0.7$24.50
03-27 16:07Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or higher on March 28?BUY0.998$34.93
03-27 16:07Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 28?BUY0.998$34.93
03-27 16:02Will there be between 18 and 21 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?BUY0.999$49.95