PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

StevieKiwi

0xe9f3b839f2a4b362d067ffb575c56f8741c9c4a6

Realised P&L
$-4.2k
Volume
$62.1k
Markets traded
87
Open portfolio
$758.38

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded87
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration76.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · No0.6900.725$72.50+$3.50
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? · Yes0.4050.344$25.35−$4.49
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher? · No0.5790.590$23.60+$0.44
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? · No0.4900.565$22.60+$3.00
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5400.525$21.00−$0.60
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $192 in October? · No0.3900.500$20.00+$4.40
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? · Yes0.5200.445$17.80−$3.00
Will London have less than 35mm of precipitation in October? · No0.8200.880$17.60+$1.20
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? · No0.3400.405$16.20+$2.60
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 55 by October 31? · No0.8000.805$16.10+$0.10
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $407,000 and $417,000 on December 31? · No0.8300.805$16.10−$0.50
Will Claude Opus's output price be at or above $25 in 2026? · Yes0.3500.370$14.80+$0.80
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $25 in 2026? · No0.7800.870$13.92+$1.44
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on November 30, 2026? · No0.7400.695$13.90−$0.90
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.7400.640$12.80−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-10 21:28Will the US strike Iran next?SELL0.003$9.60
01-10 19:51Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?SELL0.19$230.40
01-09 18:52Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.16$194.02
11-05 18:422024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R HouseBUY0.0787100821$4.0k