StevieKiwi
0xe9f3b839f2a4b362d067ffb575c56f8741c9c4a6
- Realised P&L
- $-4.2k
- Volume
- $62.1k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $758.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.38at 0.160Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
- +$5.40at 0.230Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on October 5?
- +$4.69at 0.250Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?
- +$0.40at 0.235Will Google have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?
- +$0.35at 0.370Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-10 21:28 | Will the US strike Iran next? | SELL | 0.003 | $9.60 |
| 01-10 19:51 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SELL | 0.19 | $230.40 |
| 01-09 18:52 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $194.02 |
| 11-05 18:42 | 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.0787100821 | $4.0k |