PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

BigT666999

0xe37582018d6e0257908aff7ad167cc254dc2b335

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$136.0k
Markets traded
2,231
Open portfolio
$21.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,231
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? · Yes0.0300.006$6.94−$25.26
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · Yes0.0350.009$4.33−$13.80
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0660.038$2.88−$2.12
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.0790.028$1.31−$2.44
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? · Yes0.1400.048$1.03−$1.97
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2150.213$0.99−$0.01
Will Bill Clinton be arrested before 2027? · Yes0.1000.017$0.99−$5.01
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1920.183$0.96−$0.04
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3920.350$0.89−$0.11
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? · Yes0.0700.017$0.71−$2.29
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0670.019$0.29−$0.71
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0900.001$0.01−$0.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 03:10Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?SELL0.004$4.28
08-24 00:45Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL0.47$3.93
07-15 21:06Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.418$4.80
07-15 21:06Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.581$3.32
07-10 04:39Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.031$0.50
07-05 23:06Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.081$0.73
07-05 03:36Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL0.064$0.69
07-05 02:11Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.031$1.63
07-02 00:26Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia PhilliesBUY0.0709999579$1.50
07-02 00:26Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
07-02 00:25Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.031$1.65
07-02 00:24ITF Kayseri: Duru Soke vs Selina AtayBUY0.1299998986$1.00
07-02 00:23Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?BUY0.0389999815$2.00
07-02 00:22Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?BUY0.0359999955$8.00
07-02 00:21Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?BUY0.0317904573$8.00