0xe334ddf7b5b4646bef6870bd4986f452cc4fb195
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $184.50
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$110.50at 0.152MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
- +$27.00at 0.491Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$18.43at 0.681Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$16.77at 0.379Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?
- +$14.40at 0.520SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 16:05 | Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | SELL | 0.15 | $6.00 |
| 10-24 01:09 | Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.80 |
| 10-14 02:33 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.11 | $7.70 |
| 10-14 02:31 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? | BUY | 0.77 | $23.10 |
| 10-09 02:27 | MPS x Intesa Sanpaolo merger/acquisition announced in 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $5.80 |
| 10-09 02:14 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.532 | $10.64 |
| 10-08 02:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $16.80 |
| 10-08 02:13 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%? | BUY | 0.44 | $13.20 |
| 10-08 02:07 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.12 | $3.60 |
| 09-29 03:51 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4539999942 | $15.00 |
| 09-15 04:06 | Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.36 |
| 09-11 02:16 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999951 | $20.00 |
| 09-11 02:15 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.31 |
| 08-18 11:53 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.1689057812 | $8.44 |
| 08-18 11:41 | Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |