0xE334ddf7b5b4646BEf6870Bd4986F452cc4FB195-1767611575333
0xe334ddf7b5b4646bef6870bd4986f452cc4fb195
- Realised P&L
- $118.98
- Volume
- $19.1k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $195.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$110.50at 0.152MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
- +$18.43at 0.681Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$16.77at 0.379Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?
- +$14.73at 0.410Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$14.40at 0.520SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 04:06 | Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.36 |
| 09-11 02:16 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999951 | $20.00 |
| 09-11 02:15 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.31 |
| 08-18 11:53 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.1689057812 | $8.44 |
| 08-18 11:41 | Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 07-25 12:50 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.012 | $6.00 |
| 07-23 21:15 | José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 07-23 21:05 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999771 | $10.00 |
| 07-23 21:03 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 07-23 21:02 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 07-23 21:02 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 07-23 20:57 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.2035928052 | $15.00 |
| 07-23 20:56 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999938 | $30.00 |
| 07-23 20:56 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0367057666 | $15.00 |
| 07-15 20:29 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.127 | $3.81 |