alexludoman
0xe1173c89e54a444c355f928031aadbbc0bdfb4e7
- Realised P&L
- $-761.80
- Volume
- $283.0k
- Markets traded
- 2,191
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,191
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.501Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$669.91at 0.519Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
- +$414.95at 0.143Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
- +$344.36at 0.474Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
- +$331.91at 0.413MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 08:21 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $83.37 |
| 09-13 10:47 | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.863714 | $86.37 |
| 09-11 12:57 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.19 | $9.50 |
| 09-11 12:57 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 09-11 12:57 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.19 | $95.00 |
| 09-11 08:05 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.39 | $39.00 |
| 09-11 06:25 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.39 | $39.00 |
| 09-11 06:25 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.39 | $39.00 |
| 09-10 13:35 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.36 | $36.00 |
| 09-09 12:48 | LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.47 | $14.10 |
| 09-09 12:48 | LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.46 | $38.64 |
| 09-09 12:48 | LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.45 | $7.77 |
| 09-09 12:48 | Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 09-09 12:47 | Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.87 | $40.02 |
| 09-09 12:45 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.5 | $100.00 |