PolyBot

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Traders

alexludoman

0xe1173c89e54a444c355f928031aadbbc0bdfb4e7

Realised P&L
$-761.80
Volume
$283.0k
Markets traded
2,191
Open portfolio
$3.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,191
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.4230.265$996.71$594.52
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.3390.225$555.41$282.27
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.1370.115$299.44$57.73
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? · No0.8340.745$251.50$30.06
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0260.015$115.20$94.06
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.5740.440$113.22$34.42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1680.165$108.28$1.65
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.1140.043$71.88$120.94
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0530.025$64.63$70.90
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · Yes0.5130.120$62.30$204.31
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.4700.585$58.50+$11.50
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3930.512$51.25+$11.95
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.2210.070$39.04$84.38
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0420.038$38.50$3.50
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1510.081$33.01$28.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 08:21Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.12$83.37
09-13 10:47Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?SELL0.863714$86.37
09-11 12:57Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.19$9.50
09-11 12:57Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.19$19.00
09-11 12:57Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.19$95.00
09-11 08:05Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.39$39.00
09-11 06:25Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.39$39.00
09-11 06:25Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.39$39.00
09-10 13:35Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.36$36.00
09-09 12:48LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.47$14.10
09-09 12:48LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.46$38.64
09-09 12:48LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.45$7.77
09-09 12:48Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?BUY0.84$4.20
09-09 12:47Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2027?BUY0.87$40.02
09-09 12:452026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.5$100.00