Stann
0xdf7ee106aaea6a72d75a521efa1d3dda11686d4d
- Realised P&L
- $177.92
- Volume
- $12.5k
- Markets traded
- 165
- Open portfolio
- $36.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded165
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No | 0.700 | 0.715 | $20.43 | +$0.43 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.003 | $4.17 | −$0.83 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $3.75 | −$1.25 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.009 | $3.64 | −$1.36 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.003 | $3.13 | −$1.87 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.009 | $1.12 | −$0.88 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.009 | $0.29 | −$0.71 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.087 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.18 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$98.17at 0.161Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$36.40at 0.570Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$30.65at 0.620US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$20.41at 0.170Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$19.47at 0.209Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 15:38 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.015 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 15:38 | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.017 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 15:37 | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 15:37 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 15:37 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 15:37 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0116901639 | $5.00 |
| 08-18 23:37 | Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $12.85 |
| 08-18 23:36 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.98 | $41.14 |
| 08-18 23:36 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |
| 08-18 23:36 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 08-18 23:36 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0463942397 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 03:08 | Will Claude go down 12+ times in July? | BUY | 0.2029999748 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 03:07 | Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July? | BUY | 0.8699999791 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 02:27 | Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | SELL | 0.91 | $31.38 |
| 06-02 21:27 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |