0xdd588bdc8cadf4f8353fad35ec88e76ffdf81688
0xdd588bdc8cadf4f8353fad35ec88e76ffdf81688
- Realised P&L
- $-10.68
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $46.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.64at 0.400Will Trump say "Peanut" or "Nut" this week?
- +$9.98at 0.410Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
- +$9.36at 0.510Will Trump post "Rigged" on Truth Social this week?
- +$3.01at 0.860Iran coup attempt by June 30?
- +$1.88at 0.447Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 15:23 | Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $0.17 |
| 10-01 15:23 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in October? | BUY | 0.1399999991 | $3.20 |
| 10-01 15:20 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.2099999997 | $7.55 |
| 10-01 15:09 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $4.69 |
| 10-01 15:06 | Will Edmonton Oilers be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.75 |
| 10-01 05:04 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" this week? | BUY | 0.2517621118 | $7.62 |
| 09-29 16:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4299999794 | $1.46 |
| 09-29 16:54 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | SELL | 0.51 | $2.40 |
| 09-29 16:50 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999618 | $1.46 |
| 09-29 16:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | BUY | 0.0899999985 | $4.87 |
| 09-29 16:47 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999996 | $9.75 |
| 09-29 16:46 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0349999999 | $9.75 |
| 09-29 16:41 | Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.8596090909 | $18.91 |
| 09-28 21:03 | Will Trump say "Peanut" or "Nut" this week? | BUY | 0.3899999902 | $9.51 |
| 09-24 21:46 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $230-$235 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25? | BUY | 0.179999999 | $14.14 |