Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-02
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk
Rewards: 50 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.17. down 0.02 over the period, from 0.19. Range 0.14 to 0.20. 38 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.17	851	851
0.18	376	1,227
0.19	1,484	2,711
0.20	1,295	4,006
0.21	645	4,651
0.22	314	4,965
0.23	481	5,446
0.24	303	5,749
0.25	337	6,086
0.26	387	6,473
0.27	100	6,573
0.28	287	6,860

Spread0.01Mid0.17

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.16	22	22
0.15	1,506	1,528
0.14	5,336	6,863
0.13	577	7,440
0.12	210	7,650
0.11	200	7,850
0.10	10	7,860
0.08	210	8,070
0.07	686	8,756
0.06	543	9,299
0.05	1,653	10,952
0.04	575	11,527

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.84	22	22
0.85	1,506	1,528
0.86	5,336	6,863
0.87	577	7,440
0.88	210	7,650
0.89	200	7,850
0.90	10	7,860
0.92	210	8,070
0.93	686	8,756
0.94	543	9,299
0.95	1,653	10,952
0.96	575	11,527

Spread0.01Mid0.83

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.83	851	851
0.82	376	1,227
0.81	1,484	2,711
0.80	1,295	4,006
0.79	645	4,651
0.78	314	4,965
0.77	481	5,446
0.76	303	5,749
0.75	337	6,086
0.74	387	6,473
0.73	100	6,573
0.72	287	6,860

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Angeredbees	Yes	4,785.8
Poiuztrewq	Yes	3,400.13
smalltimezzz	Yes	2,592.31
plymbus	Yes	1,156.78
0x85F068Cce11e629B59DD5C33946C65f0870d62Eb-1769891983553	Yes	736.24
Fugger12345	Yes	500
Kkirito	Yes	500
sebyastiens	Yes	500
hirichzhou	Yes	400.4
Melao	Yes	400
0x7bc3E4534D5320CB6056762962A8dFa831abf868-1773057330930	Yes	227.45
CrypRom	Yes	156.25
IronByte	Yes	150
TaigerTeam	Yes	104
0xc948…e6cd	Yes	101.5
justwant5	Yes	100.1
omgdildakk	Yes	100
benjaminproject	Yes	100
YANIVALTALEV	Yes	100
0xd0D82390736282E63B4Cdd9d6854f8CaFf4A3393-1715955170566	Yes	100

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
15:24:32	BUY	Yes	0.16	100	$16.00
13:29:04	BUY	Yes	0.16	736	$117.80
12:08:56	BUY	Yes	0.16	6	$1.00
12:07:11	BUY	Yes	0.16	13	$2.00
11:26:35	BUY	Yes	0.16	6	$1.00
10:50:17	BUY	No	0.8499999915	12	$10.00
09:49:52	BUY	Yes	0.16	31	$5.00
09:42:10	BUY	Yes	0.16	100	$16.00
09:01:47	BUY	Yes	0.15	145	$21.75
06:13:50	BUY	Yes	0.15	150	$22.50
21:53:10	BUY	Yes	0.15	89	$13.35
21:48:17	BUY	Yes	0.15	15	$2.25
21:42:22	SELL	Yes	0.15	175	$26.31
21:42:16	BUY	No	0.8514935791	1,174	$1000.00
21:13:03	BUY	Yes	0.15	111	$16.65
20:41:12	BUY	Yes	0.19	7	$1.33
20:41:09	BUY	No	0.8318396529	1,202	$1000.00
20:39:15	SELL	Yes	0.18	150	$27.00
20:38:53	BUY	No	0.813420647	1,229	$1000.00
20:38:47	SELL	Yes	0.19	41	$7.82
20:38:11	BUY	No	0.8090283568	1,236	$1000.00
20:35:33	BUY	No	0.8	91	$72.56
20:32:18	BUY	No	0.8	24	$19.20
20:11:42	BUY	No	0.8	5	$4.16
20:09:21	BUY	No	0.8	10	$8.00