PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

The-Grand-Wizrd

0xd9ebd9eb4efd0a363796c37b245b63486b4175ce

Realised P&L
$-117.29
Volume
$70.7k
Markets traded
5,780
Open portfolio
$295.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,780
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1900.329$10.80+$4.56
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.5330.695$7.72+$1.80
Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.7300.725$7.61$0.05
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6720.635$6.81$0.40
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4100.460$6.72+$0.72
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · No0.6500.580$6.48$0.78
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.3700.605$6.24+$2.43
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.6400.615$6.17$0.25
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.5760.469$5.67$1.29
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary? · No0.6380.863$5.39+$1.41
Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? · No0.6200.820$5.30+$1.29
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.4000.345$5.17$0.83
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3000.304$5.08+$0.07
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.6001.000$5.02+$2.01
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 3? · No0.8900.999$5.00+$0.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:58Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 3?SELL0.96$4.81
08-02 12:00Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on August 2?SELL0.98$4.91
08-02 11:32Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 3?SELL0.97$4.87
08-02 11:12Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 3?SELL0.89$4.46
08-02 06:04Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16?SELL0.6$4.06
08-02 03:41Will TKO Group (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.601$3.11
08-02 00:04Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 3?SELL0.95$4.76
08-02 00:00Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 3?BUY0.83$4.16
08-01 23:12Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 2?SELL0.9$4.50
08-01 22:37Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 2?SELL0.96$4.82
08-01 22:25Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 2?SELL0.96$4.81
08-01 21:47Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 3?BUY0.85$4.26
08-01 21:12Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 2?BUY0.83$4.16
08-01 21:11LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.78$4.00
08-01 21:09LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.78$4.00