0xd78722b6369e63973ec4b680eae115663d0f7c12
0xd78722b6369e63973ec4b680eae115663d0f7c12
- Realised P&L
- $218.13
- Volume
- $36.4k
- Markets traded
- 782
- Open portfolio
- $170.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded782
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$93.40at 0.061Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?
- +$86.02at 0.202Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
- +$60.87at 0.014Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$59.80at 0.016Will Silver (SI) settle at $77.5-$80 in January?
- +$53.60at 0.264Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 03:57 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | BUY | 0.7699999846 | $4.00 |
| 10-20 03:55 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.629999995 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 03:51 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.229999987 | $3.00 |
| 10-20 03:49 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20? | BUY | 0.3399999773 | $3.00 |
| 10-19 19:15 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 10-18 16:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.7399999945 | $5.40 |
| 10-18 14:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.7399999896 | $10.00 |
| 10-17 12:53 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.00 |
| 10-17 12:41 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.23 | $4.37 |
| 10-17 12:39 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.09 |
| 10-17 12:38 | Will Borussia Dortmund be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? | BUY | 0.069999999 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 12:37 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.031 | $0.22 |
| 10-17 12:37 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.16 |
| 10-17 12:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $3.00 |
| 10-16 04:58 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.0045522023 | $0.91 |