0xd55030b17723f7d6501209fcfa6487ec09844509
0xd55030b17723f7d6501209fcfa6487ec09844509
- Realised P&L
- $2.31
- Volume
- $350.88
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $7.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · No | 0.610 | 0.855 | $1.40 | +$0.40 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.835 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.805 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.763 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.265 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.675 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.195 | $0.81 | −$0.19 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.385 | $0.56 | −$0.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.45at 0.198Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
- +$5.35at 0.278Walmart (WMT) Q2 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 3%-4.5%?
- +$5.14at 0.280US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$5.07at 0.290Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$4.38at 0.321Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 22:37 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 14:37 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 15:46 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 06:36 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 20:57 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 07:26 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 22:54 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899996964 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:49 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 06:46 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in September? | BUY | 0.2289999595 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 06:35 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 17:31 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 09:15 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 01:15 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 12:09 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 04:08 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |