PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

SmallPuddles

0xcbb3e3521b201345ac6f2fdc741c22c692eed024

Realised P&L
$-822.77
Volume
$6.3k
Markets traded
75
Open portfolio
$58.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-13.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded75
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)97.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
RFK Jr. Out by December 31? · No0.7360.745$20.24+$0.24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.5100.175$10.29−$19.71
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.038$7.00−$13.00
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.4100.205$5.00−$5.00
US military draft authorized in 2026? · Yes0.1180.020$4.25−$20.75
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? · Yes0.4800.170$3.54−$6.46
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.3200.055$3.44−$16.56
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2500.045$1.80−$8.20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1700.029$1.68−$8.32
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.3340.012$1.08−$28.92
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? · No0.4600.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March? · No0.6190.000$0.00−$10.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire? · Yes0.1390.000$0.00−$70.00
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? · No0.4200.000$0.00−$70.00
S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week? · No0.6070.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 20:58Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?SELL0.92$23.89
07-28 20:54Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.2$22.60
04-21 00:26Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?SELL0.9103246753$42.06
04-08 21:02US forces enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.997$30.21
04-07 21:09US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?BUY0.193820698$65.00
04-04 00:39Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?BUY0.1899999959$30.00
04-04 00:38Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?BUY0.4599999939$30.00
04-04 00:38Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?BUY0.7199999981$30.00
04-04 00:38Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?BUY0.8299999978$30.00
04-04 00:37Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.5099999952$30.00
04-04 00:36Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1769999932$20.00
04-04 00:32Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?SELL0.9866550218$45.19
04-02 20:05US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL0.999$26.99
04-02 20:04Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?SELL0.999$31.91
04-01 21:23Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?BUY0.554455442$20.00