0xCaf1e3dF062B12e30751e99162DE372b90Cc8a32-1778220112153
0xcaf1e3df062b12e30751e99162de372b90cc8a32
- Realised P&L
- $-11.99
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $9.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.29at 0.070Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$2.68at 0.250US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.52at 0.661Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A
- +$0.50at 0.500Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
- +$0.50at 0.885Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 03:23 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | BUY | 0.0439999995 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 03:22 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 08-13 23:34 | Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C | BUY | 0.8899999969 | $5.68 |
| 08-13 23:29 | Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 08-13 13:14 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 08-13 13:12 | Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |
| 08-13 13:12 | Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A | SELL | 0.999 | $4.36 |
| 08-13 12:52 | Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A | SELL | 0.999 | $1.49 |
| 08-13 08:16 | Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A | BUY | 0.8799999908 | $3.84 |
| 08-13 08:14 | Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 11:52 | Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Metizport (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 12 | SELL | 0.999 | $1.12 |
| 08-08 10:15 | Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 6 | BUY | 0.8099999757 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 10:10 | Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Metizport (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 12 | BUY | 0.8899994126 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 09:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 09:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |