PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

FedeC

0xc9de73f44252a342d3a71e515c436ccbc0be1815

Realised P&L
$11.79
Volume
$27.8k
Markets traded
405
Open portfolio
$506.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded405
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8160.895$125.92+$11.06
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8790.972$87.44+$8.34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8300.959$57.54+$7.74
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.6510.437$34.96$17.09
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? · No0.8400.880$26.39+$1.20
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5700.435$26.10$8.10
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.8900.981$19.62+$1.82
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5300.935$18.70+$8.10
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 35% and 39.9%? · No0.9180.997$17.14+$1.35
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? · No0.8600.795$15.90$1.30
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.8500.998$9.99+$1.48
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%? · Yes0.3450.465$9.30+$2.40
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.3400.595$8.93+$3.83
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3900.875$8.75+$4.85
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7100.825$8.25+$1.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-29 07:15Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.56$2.80
08-25 06:01Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.386$3.86
08-25 06:01Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.066$1.32
08-09 00:17AA Argentinos Juniors vs. Racing Club: O/U 1.5BUY0.63$6.30
08-09 00:13Will Racing Club win on 2026-08-09?BUY0.78$7.80
08-08 22:56Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-08?BUY0.49$4.90
08-08 22:16Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-08?BUY0.4$4.00
08-08 21:58Will CA Independiente win on 2026-08-08?BUY0.52$5.20
08-08 21:20Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.65$6.50
08-08 21:19Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.083$3.32
08-08 21:16Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.426$8.52
08-08 21:12Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.018$2.16
08-08 21:12Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.63$6.30
07-23 05:09Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.591$5.91
07-19 07:10Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 35% and 39.9%?BUY0.918$15.79