PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

FedeC

0xc9de73f44252a342d3a71e515c436ccbc0be1815

Realised P&L
$16.49
Volume
$27.4k
Markets traded
397
Open portfolio
$465.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded397
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8160.875$123.10+$8.25
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8790.962$86.58+$7.48
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8300.945$56.70+$6.90
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.7930.484$24.22$15.45
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.8900.977$19.54+$1.74
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5100.645$19.35+$4.05
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 35% and 39.9%? · No0.9180.996$17.12+$1.33
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? · No0.8500.855$17.10+$0.10
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? · No0.8600.835$16.70$0.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5300.745$14.90+$4.30
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.8500.996$9.96+$1.46
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%? · Yes0.3450.450$9.00+$2.10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7100.785$7.85+$0.75
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.3400.475$7.13+$2.02
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3900.620$6.20+$2.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-23 05:09Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.591$5.91
07-19 07:10Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 35% and 39.9%?BUY0.918$15.79
07-19 07:10Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?BUY0.35$3.50
07-19 07:09Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?BUY0.86$17.20
07-19 07:08Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?BUY0.85$17.00
07-19 07:06Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.71$7.10
07-19 06:58Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.844$5.37
07-19 06:57Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.452$9.04
07-11 20:09Norway vs. England: England O/U 2.5BUY0.74$7.40
07-11 20:09Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.32$3.20
07-11 20:09Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceBUY0.75$7.50
07-11 06:36Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.78$15.60
07-11 06:32Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3575$3.57
07-10 20:36Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?BUY0.191$1.91
07-10 20:34Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.85$8.50