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Traders

zthunderfury

0xc682d7943aad07c246986a7aa2989cfcb17817bb

Realised P&L
$29.6k
Volume
$5.65M
Markets traded
479
Open portfolio
$250.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded479
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9670.990$76.9k+$1.7k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8200.835$24.0k+$441.87
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? · No0.8910.995$22.3k+$2.3k
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · No0.7430.945$14.2k+$3.0k
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8480.895$13.8k+$723.69
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No0.7990.795$12.9k$70.88
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · No0.8120.935$9.5k+$1.2k
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9280.953$9.2k+$231.26
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9440.955$9.1k+$101.08
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.779$8.4k+$3.0k
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9670.995$8.0k+$220.68
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.8420.855$7.4k+$107.71
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.955$7.2k+$187.95
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · No0.7310.875$6.8k+$1.1k
Iran leadership change by September 30? · No0.9540.983$3.7k+$109.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 14:55Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.962$4.81
09-08 14:55Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.962$4.81
09-04 22:15Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.961$0.47
09-04 22:15Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.961$15.46
09-04 22:14Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.961$23.88
09-04 13:01Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.91$2.5k
09-04 13:01Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.9586742227$2.4k
09-04 10:54Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.963$19.26
09-01 17:25US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?SELL0.60969634$437.79
08-31 15:26Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.969$4.84
08-31 15:25Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.969$4.84
08-31 15:25Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.969$5.76
08-31 15:24Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.969$8.82
08-31 15:24Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.969$13.91
08-31 02:11Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?SELL0.6572621333$985.89