0xC1D4FAdC6790b7906F3ED8CE80fE267adc9861a7-1788513695142
0xc1d4fadc6790b7906f3ed8ce80fe267adc9861a7
- Realised P&L
- $-55.72
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 186
- Open portfolio
- $86.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded186
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.27at 0.445Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
- +$9.78at 0.506Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?
- +$9.72at 0.409Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
- +$6.49at 0.603Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
- +$6.37at 0.422Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 14:33 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 14:33 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.86 | $1.04 |
| 10-08 11:41 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.93 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 02:57 | Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 00:11 | Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 00:08 | Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? | BUY | 0.6384038611 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 00:08 | Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 00:08 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.88 | $0.12 |
| 10-06 16:59 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.89 | $0.50 |
| 10-05 23:39 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8499997025 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 22:36 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 20:10 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8399994288 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 18:41 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.829999502 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 21:53 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.11 |
| 10-04 16:50 | Will Marina Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |