PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xC1D4FAdC6790b7906F3ED8CE80fE267adc9861a7-1788513695142

0xc1d4fadc6790b7906f3ed8ce80fe267adc9861a7

Realised P&L
$-55.72
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
186
Open portfolio
$86.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded186
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2790.879$31.47+$21.47
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.6340.885$13.95+$3.95
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8300.835$7.08+$0.04
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? · Yes0.7851.000$5.99+$1.29
Will Simone Tebet win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? · No0.8821.000$4.53+$0.53
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? · No0.6630.745$4.49+$0.49
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1270.178$4.22+$1.22
Will Marina Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? · No0.8831.000$3.40+$0.40
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1940.155$2.40−$0.60
Exact Score: Any Other Score? · No0.8401.000$2.38+$0.38
Will Benedita da Silva win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election? · No0.4601.000$2.17+$1.17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2350.155$1.32−$0.68
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2490.150$1.20−$0.80
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? · No0.8400.900$1.07+$0.07
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará? · Yes0.8600.865$1.01+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 14:33Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?BUY0.859999914$1.00
10-10 14:33Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?SELL0.86$1.04
10-08 11:41Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?SELL0.93$1.00
10-07 02:57Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
10-07 00:11Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-07 00:08Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?BUY0.6384038611$1.00
10-07 00:08Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
10-07 00:08Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?SELL0.88$0.12
10-06 16:59Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?SELL0.89$0.50
10-05 23:39Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8499997025$1.00
10-05 22:36Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.84$1.00
10-05 20:10Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8399994288$1.00
10-05 18:41Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.829999502$1.00
10-04 21:53Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?SELL0.013$0.11
10-04 16:50Will Marina Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?BUY0.8799999648$1.00