rzhi
0xc078b8cbbfed2e48579f25929c24cafd7d39e0ae
- Realised P&L
- $-114.23
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 148
- Open portfolio
- $111.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded148
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.13at 0.310Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$10.91at 0.478Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$7.01at 0.363US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$5.49at 0.154Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$4.80at 0.360Deel IPO by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 05:35 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 08-27 13:27 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 13:20 | Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.0989999118 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 13:20 | Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.832 | $3.26 |
| 08-17 12:57 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2279999334 | $2.00 |
| 08-17 12:57 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.431144264 | $5.00 |
| 08-17 12:48 | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? | BUY | 0.0370000014 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 12:47 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 12:37 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 23:15 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 23:11 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 23:06 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.1649998639 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 23:06 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 14:39 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0869999272 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 14:34 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |