PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rzhi

0xc078b8cbbfed2e48579f25929c24cafd7d39e0ae

Realised P&L
$-114.23
Volume
$3.9k
Markets traded
148
Open portfolio
$111.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded148
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.2780.675$14.58+$8.58
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1770.125$8.64$3.56
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1840.064$8.60$16.39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.3120.825$7.92+$4.92
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1130.038$7.14$13.86
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1640.255$6.23+$2.23
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.1350.190$5.64+$1.64
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0650.105$4.84+$1.84
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.0900.080$4.44$0.56
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.1760.065$3.60$6.15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No0.2280.393$3.44+$1.44
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3070.065$2.75$10.25
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes0.1210.055$1.82$2.18
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.0950.032$1.66$3.34
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0800.131$1.63+$0.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 05:35Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?BUY0.0899999845$5.00
08-27 13:27Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?BUY0.02$1.00
08-27 13:20Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?BUY0.0989999118$1.00
08-27 13:20Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?SELL0.832$3.26
08-17 12:57US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2279999334$2.00
08-17 12:57US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.431144264$5.00
08-17 12:48U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? BUY0.0370000014$1.00
08-17 12:47Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
08-17 12:37Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.3099998295$1.00
08-07 23:15US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?BUY0.29999982$1.00
08-07 23:11US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
08-07 23:06Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.1649998639$1.00
08-07 23:06Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
07-23 14:39Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0869999272$1.00
07-23 14:34Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?BUY0.1099999032$1.00