Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-06-30
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.29. down 0.19 over the period, from 0.48. Range 0.23 to 0.51. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.30	300	300
0.31	70	370
0.32	20	390
0.58	50	440
0.59	17	457
0.60	20	477
0.69	30	507
0.72	20	527
0.74	7	534
0.75	40	574
0.76	113	687
0.77	500	1,187

Spread0.01Mid0.29

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.29	227	227
0.28	70	297
0.27	25	322
0.15	47	369
0.14	126	495
0.13	679	1,174
0.12	20	1,194
0.07	7	1,200
0.06	30	1,230
0.03	5	1,236
0.02	20	1,256
0.01	19	1,274

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.71	227	227
0.72	70	297
0.73	25	322
0.85	47	369
0.86	126	495
0.87	679	1,174
0.88	20	1,194
0.93	7	1,200
0.94	30	1,230
0.97	5	1,236
0.98	20	1,256
0.99	19	1,274

Spread0.01Mid0.70

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.70	300	300
0.69	70	370
0.68	20	390
0.42	50	440
0.41	17	457
0.40	20	477
0.31	30	507
0.28	20	527
0.26	7	534
0.25	40	574
0.24	113	687
0.23	500	1,187

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
chwk	Yes	66.67
sdfsdfsdfsdf2	Yes	63.8
AJSV	Yes	38.07
porkchop01	Yes	27.78
SingletonFamilyFund	No	149.8
GuyFromTinder	No	26.65
youtube-trader	No	20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
09:00:12	SELL	No	0.69	47	$32.19
06:33:18	SELL	No	0.7	20	$14.00
06:33:12	SELL	No	0.7	6	$4.19
06:33:09	BUY	Yes	0.2999999985	67	$20.00
14:12:18	SELL	Yes	0.29	20	$5.80
13:52:24	SELL	Yes	0.3	21	$6.30
10:06:15	BUY	Yes	0.32	25	$8.00
09:50:42	SELL	Yes	0.25	1	$0.25
09:49:34	SELL	Yes	0.25	20	$5.00
09:49:33	SELL	Yes	0.32	19	$6.08
09:49:31	SELL	Yes	0.32	6	$1.92
09:49:24	BUY	No	0.65	150	$97.37
03:30:07	BUY	Yes	0.3599999971	28	$10.00