PolyBot

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Traders

ourdemocracy2

0xbdcb293dd41148a20895d0e818c0d96c0756e811

Realised P&L
$6.6k
Volume
$10.81M
Markets traded
603
Open portfolio
$30.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded603
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · No0.8670.905$11.5k+$480.81
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8500.845$2.5k−$15.00
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? · No0.8800.966$2.3k+$200.30
Natural Disaster in 2026? · No0.8070.915$2.0k+$236.40
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? · No0.8180.973$1.3k+$204.96
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · No0.9540.955$1.2k+$0.65
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027? · No0.8530.736$1.1k−$176.22
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · No0.9070.905$905.00−$2.34
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? · No0.7680.940$852.92+$156.40
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by December 31? · No0.9000.835$835.00−$65.00
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? · No0.7300.933$499.15+$108.62
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? · No0.9120.934$438.71+$10.45
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · No0.7400.770$385.00+$15.00
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in October? · No0.9370.968$373.02+$11.83
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.7790.913$348.04+$51.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 10:28Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31?BUY0.95139988$47.56
10-04 10:28America.gov removed by October 31?BUY0.977880597$196.55
10-04 10:26Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in October?BUY0.93$93.00
10-04 10:26Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in October?BUY0.945907173$33.63
10-04 10:25Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in October?BUY0.9358837143$327.56
10-04 10:25Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $120 in October?BUY0.96$96.00
10-04 10:24Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $115 in October?BUY0.97$97.00
10-04 10:24Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in October?BUY0.99$9.90
10-04 10:24Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in October?BUY0.98$147.00
10-04 08:54Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October?BUY0.983$58.98
10-04 08:54Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?BUY0.9196704$137.95
10-04 08:53Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in October?BUY0.986$59.16
10-04 08:52Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $74 in October?BUY0.954$122.68
10-04 08:46Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.93$139.50
10-04 08:45Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9266557377$56.53