yu25252525
0xbb223d5a5e18b837fc57ccdc4d656882fcc6710a
- Realised P&L
- $2.5k
- Volume
- $46.7k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $357.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.1kat 0.025Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$246.58at 0.391Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
- +$198.92at 0.171Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$132.62at 0.260Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
- +$127.53at 0.110Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 19:45 | Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.971 | $5.91 |
| 09-29 19:44 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $27.60 |
| 09-29 19:44 | Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? | SELL | 0.9354254689 | $47.38 |
| 09-29 19:44 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | SELL | 0.96 | $72.68 |
| 09-29 19:44 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $94.00 |
| 09-29 19:43 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.993 | $110.04 |
| 09-29 19:43 | Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | SELL | 0.9082057851 | $109.89 |
| 09-29 19:43 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.977 | $141.66 |
| 09-29 19:43 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $148.80 |
| 09-29 19:43 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.966 | $248.26 |
| 09-29 19:42 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.965 | $308.80 |
| 08-19 22:23 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.037 | $55.50 |
| 07-14 20:44 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.017 | $3.74 |
| 06-24 18:50 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 06-24 18:47 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |