PolyBot

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Traders

yu25252525

0xbb223d5a5e18b837fc57ccdc4d656882fcc6710a

Realised P&L
$2.5k
Volume
$46.7k
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$357.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration71.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0810.051$196.27−$117.87
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes0.1320.055$34.04−$47.41
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.255$33.15+$18.85
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year? · Yes0.5530.250$30.09−$36.50
Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.4680.067$27.05−$163.45
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2290.095$22.80−$32.10
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1190.024$10.50−$41.57
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2900.050$3.50−$16.80
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$148.50
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1130.000$0.00−$40.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0850.000$0.00−$40.03
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.1120.000$0.00−$58.49
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.1040.000$0.00−$58.91
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$64.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 19:45Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?SELL0.971$5.91
09-29 19:44Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?SELL0.92$27.60
09-29 19:44Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?SELL0.9354254689$47.38
09-29 19:44Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? SELL0.96$72.68
09-29 19:44Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.94$94.00
09-29 19:43Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.993$110.04
09-29 19:43Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?SELL0.9082057851$109.89
09-29 19:43Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.977$141.66
09-29 19:43Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?SELL0.93$148.80
09-29 19:43Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.966$248.26
09-29 19:42Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.965$308.80
08-19 22:23Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.037$55.50
07-14 20:44Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.017$3.74
06-24 18:50Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.1$1.00
06-24 18:47Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.1$1.00