fixedincome
0xb904e24766760c88553c02e0f3924ec3260900dd
- Realised P&L
- $27.08
- Volume
- $6.6k
- Markets traded
- 214
- Open portfolio
- $25.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded214
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)97.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.67at 0.060Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$11.63at 0.081LoL: Ozarox Esports vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Regular Season
- +$6.69at 0.130Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
- +$5.67at 0.150China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- +$5.53at 0.1530 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 02:10 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 02:10 | Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 02:10 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 14:32 | Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 14:32 | Will Al Ain FC win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 14:32 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 02:02 | Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5) | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 02:02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 02:02 | LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 02:40 | Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 02:16 | British Columbia Lions vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 02:33 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.3349998476 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 14:55 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 02:55 | Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 02:55 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |