PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.33. down 0.13 over the period, from 0.46. Range 0.12 to 0.46. 20 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.33342342
0.34122464
0.3640504
0.67103607
0.8347654
0.899663
0.927671
0.9314685
0.9422707
0.95131839
0.96143982
0.97621,044

Spread0.01Mid0.33

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.32486486
0.3175561
0.256567
0.0796663
0.0566729
0.04156886
0.032081,094
0.02951,188
0.014281,617

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.68486486
0.6975561
0.756567
0.9396663
0.9566729
0.96156886
0.972081,094
0.98951,188
0.994281,617

Spread0.01Mid0.68

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.67342342
0.66122464
0.6440504
0.33103607
0.1747654
0.119663
0.087671
0.0714685
0.0622707
0.05131839
0.04143982
0.03621,044

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
tradetosurvive1Yes163.76
Vagabund97Yes161.93
jcook09Yes40
0xE9c605549bCF2F1a2bF1Fe485422bcAA4C59E77D-1767483312579Yes30.3
AJSVYes30
pootytherewardfarmerYes22
bechamelYes20
0xeb53…7925Yes20
0x3b76…883fYes17
zxcursed121Yes10
wheathermanYes10
cpctbusinessYes5.94
fixedincomeYes2.78
HDGBNo436.52
SuperTestsNo47
ScoopdewhoopNo25
misha-d1No20
trader-adb51585No5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
11:24:54SELLNo0.6736$24.28
10:41:09SELLYes0.322$0.53
09:56:51BUYYes0.329999992430$10.00
07:49:27BUYYes0.32999999666$1.96
03:44:46SELLYes0.3255$17.60
03:38:14SELLYes0.3353$17.49
03:09:27SELLYes0.3210$3.20
03:09:18SELLYes0.3210$3.20
02:47:15BUYNo0.6868$46.24
02:46:54BUYNo0.6810$6.80
02:43:23BUYNo0.685$3.40
02:34:36BUYNo0.6720$13.40
02:34:29BUYNo0.672$1.34
02:33:57BUYNo0.6701965200$134.04
02:29:18BUYNo0.675$3.35
02:29:12BUYNo0.675$3.35
02:28:54BUYNo0.675$3.35
02:26:41BUYNo0.675$3.35
02:24:41SELLYes0.3322$7.26
02:24:15SELLYes0.3320$6.60
02:24:14BUYNo0.6720$13.40
02:24:14BUYNo0.6535400$261.40
02:24:14BUYNo0.6720$13.40
02:24:12BUYNo0.66420$13.28
02:24:12BUYNo0.6620$13.20