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Traders

spartak1

0xb8168c23210a2503ed21d2738f228554f3465f0e

Realised P&L
$-2.13
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$958.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Canada admitted to the EU before 2029? · No0.8500.835$83.50−$1.50
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · No0.7770.915$52.86+$7.96
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.976$48.77+$4.28
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.9100.915$45.75+$0.25
AI bubble burst in 2026? · No0.7950.914$45.73+$5.97
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · No0.8200.895$44.75+$3.75
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No0.8800.885$44.25+$0.25
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · No0.8400.815$40.75−$1.25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9340.971$38.84+$1.48
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7700.765$38.25−$0.25
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8800.760$38.00−$6.00
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 30, 2026? · No0.8400.929$37.18+$3.58
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · No0.8800.915$36.60+$1.40
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? · No0.9000.905$36.20+$0.20
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No0.8250.895$35.80+$2.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 09:06Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?BUY0.56$28.00
09-30 09:05Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?SELL0.44$26.40
09-30 09:03Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?BUY0.45$27.00
09-25 10:50NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?BUY0.9$36.00
09-14 07:13Will Iran target Oman by September 30, 2026?BUY0.95$19.00
09-13 08:06Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.64$5.00
09-11 20:43Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.17$10.20
09-11 20:34Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.066$6.01
08-28 09:23Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?BUY0.87$8.70
08-28 09:02Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.91$50.05
07-11 08:37Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.82$41.00
07-04 19:47Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.89$44.50
05-21 11:03Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?BUY0.88$35.20
05-17 10:28Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?BUY0.81$24.30
05-09 16:21UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.8199999902$10.00
Trader spartak1 · PolyBot Pro