spartak1
0xb8168c23210a2503ed21d2738f228554f3465f0e
- Realised P&L
- $-2.13
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $958.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.27at 0.893Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
- +$3.74at 0.941Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
- +$3.26at 0.837Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
- +$2.75at 0.945NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
- +$2.09at 0.826Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 09:06 | Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? | BUY | 0.56 | $28.00 |
| 09-30 09:05 | Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? | SELL | 0.44 | $26.40 |
| 09-30 09:03 | Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? | BUY | 0.45 | $27.00 |
| 09-25 10:50 | NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $36.00 |
| 09-14 07:13 | Will Iran target Oman by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 09-13 08:06 | Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 20:43 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.17 | $10.20 |
| 09-11 20:34 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.066 | $6.01 |
| 08-28 09:23 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 08-28 09:02 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.91 | $50.05 |
| 07-11 08:37 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.82 | $41.00 |
| 07-04 19:47 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $44.50 |
| 05-21 11:03 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.88 | $35.20 |
| 05-17 10:28 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.81 | $24.30 |
| 05-09 16:21 | UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.8199999902 | $10.00 |