PolyBot

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Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2028-01-01
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.59. down 0.03 over the period, from 0.63. Range 0.56 to 0.63. 170 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.60770770
0.611,0451,814
0.622062,021
0.63732,094
0.65102,104
0.66802,184
0.79382,222
0.80352,257
0.8252,262
0.885152,777
0.8952,782
0.911142,896

Spread0.01Mid0.59

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.59495495
0.581,3861,881
0.573182,199
0.558203,019
0.40203,039
0.39183,057
0.375903,647
0.235264,172
0.135004,672
0.1064,678
0.091,2945,973
0.085056,478

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.41495495
0.421,3861,881
0.433182,199
0.458203,019
0.60203,039
0.61183,057
0.635903,647
0.775264,172
0.875004,672
0.9064,678
0.911,2945,973
0.925056,478

Spread0.01Mid0.41

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.40770770
0.391,0451,814
0.382062,021
0.37732,094
0.35102,104
0.34802,184
0.21382,222
0.20352,257
0.1852,262
0.125152,777
0.1152,782
0.091142,896

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Optimus-Yes5,440.15
0x91c3…409fYes2,103.44
green9Yes800
mucchinalovingYes687.5
fp_Yes625
balthazarYes451.85
SuperTestsYes405.26
0xA221f82c9752fAE9D305C8C3D1c5CF153F407588-1759570473405Yes318.89
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Yes236.33
0x52B6849f0B16FfBE429dCa17Ab4985146Aff7D34-1766348292963Yes231
Judea-PearlYes219.28
0x40b5E3e16a3Fa23942F563B570aa74287466596D-1745875788773Yes117.62
0x1bA27E74C4A6f29B7c88e7750D5B0C0990e7EA52-1730802450037Yes113.51
Elias.ThornwellYes103.51
burakrumYes103.47
SleepySYes100
BIGKEYes89.29
AJSVYes89.19
0xe7d3…f638Yes81.65
Wachufleiba88Yes60

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
15:10:30BUYYes0.66$3.60
11:32:12BUYNo0.415$2.05
11:32:12SELLNo0.420$8.00
10:02:21SELLNo0.463$25.32
10:02:21BUYNo0.415$2.05
09:21:30BUYNo0.415$2.25
09:21:30BUYYes0.682$48.99
11:33:43SELLNo0.420$8.00
11:32:13SELLNo0.42016850$21.01
11:32:13SELLNo0.420$8.00
11:32:12BUYYes0.5960$35.11
11:32:12SELLNo0.42114$47.72
11:32:10BUYYes0.5719$10.83
11:32:10BUYYes0.566119084131$74.16
11:32:10BUYYes0.56625$350.00
11:32:10BUYYes0.5650$28.00
11:32:10BUYYes0.5720$11.40
19:16:02SELLNo0.4477$33.92
06:43:18BUYYes0.5685$47.33
23:51:49SELLYes0.55119$65.44
02:38:51BUYYes0.559999995589$50.00
20:41:42BUYNo0.440196078451$22.45
20:41:39BUYNo0.4450$22.00
20:41:39SELLYes0.56364$203.98
15:30:30SELLYes0.56100$56.00