PolyBot

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Traders

Frost00

0xb51ed62bf92f91e228f2ad972c50d1ef1fd80bd5

Realised P&L
$-53.41
Volume
$4.5k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$846.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 23:33Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?BUY0.8499999915$50.00
10-04 23:28Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.64$20.00
10-04 18:37Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.8779999988$50.00
10-04 18:30Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?SELL0.92$31.08
10-04 18:29Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.82$21.37
10-04 18:28US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?SELL0.955$53.64
10-04 18:27Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?SELL0.76$99.53
10-01 23:20Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?BUY0.1899999962$5.00
10-01 23:12US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?BUY0.8899999886$50.00
10-01 23:11Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.73$38.83
10-01 23:09U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?SELL0.95$52.95
09-30 10:50Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.92$40.00
09-29 23:27Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.58599998$10.00
09-29 23:21Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.1934954432$56.05
09-22 21:39Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.4699999988$50.00