Frost00
0xb51ed62bf92f91e228f2ad972c50d1ef1fd80bd5
- Realised P&L
- $-53.41
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $846.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.01at 0.818Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$16.18at 0.789Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- +$11.35at 0.816Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
- +$3.65at 0.890US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?
- +$2.65at 0.900U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 23:33 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $50.00 |
| 10-04 23:28 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $20.00 |
| 10-04 18:37 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8779999988 | $50.00 |
| 10-04 18:30 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $31.08 |
| 10-04 18:29 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.82 | $21.37 |
| 10-04 18:28 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? | SELL | 0.955 | $53.64 |
| 10-04 18:27 | Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $99.53 |
| 10-01 23:20 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 23:12 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? | BUY | 0.8899999886 | $50.00 |
| 10-01 23:11 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.73 | $38.83 |
| 10-01 23:09 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | SELL | 0.95 | $52.95 |
| 09-30 10:50 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.92 | $40.00 |
| 09-29 23:27 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.58599998 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 23:21 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.1934954432 | $56.05 |
| 09-22 21:39 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4699999988 | $50.00 |