PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

richmond1

0xb1f441ab805be8956ea0dbb2434ff31233abe758

Realised P&L
$1.0k
Volume
$1.82M
Markets traded
325
Open portfolio
$682.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded325
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5500.425$339.40$99.82
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4620.290$231.99$137.99
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.0300.973$95.87+$92.89
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.1830.954$11.44+$9.25
Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.0300.012$1.20$1.83
Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.0300.007$0.75$2.28
Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.0300.005$0.50$2.53
Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.0030.005$0.50+$0.20
Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.0300.004$0.35$2.68
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.0300.003$0.30$2.73
Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.0300.003$0.25$2.78
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.0770.018$0.22$0.70
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0770.004$0.05$0.88
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0770.004$0.05$0.88
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0770.002$0.02$0.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-11 06:46Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group DBUY0.79$1.5k
08-10 19:54Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs FURIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group DBUY0.81$1.7k
08-10 19:32Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group BBUY0.83$2.0k
06-20 08:18Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?BUY0.1182857143$4.14
06-20 08:15Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsBUY0.6$6.00
06-18 17:36Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?SELL0.0803635$8.04
06-18 17:30Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?BUY0.979$97.90
06-18 16:37Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?SELL0.001$0.10
06-18 16:03Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.997$9.97
06-18 15:49Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.796$7.96
06-16 15:36Ethereum Up or Down on June 16?BUY0.001$41.03
04-29 06:27BNB Up or Down on April 29?BUY0.2$2.00
03-23 07:27S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 23?BUY0.73$7.30
03-23 07:26NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on March 23?BUY0.7$7.00
03-23 07:21Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on March 23?BUY0.65$6.50