PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

StayYoung

0xabd1bf358b4e2ceb6c246bc3b0413418c124870e

Realised P&L
$-331.28
Volume
$87.6k
Markets traded
252
Open portfolio
$524.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded252
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0850.160$164.55+$77.16
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No0.1050.420$84.00+$63.00
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0600.426$42.65+$36.65
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0690.404$40.35+$33.43
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.6250.185$37.00−$88.00
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026? · Yes0.1600.070$24.50−$31.60
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2390.095$21.85−$33.15
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1000.019$19.40−$80.29
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2700.183$18.35−$8.65
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.6650.055$16.50−$183.00
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2500.155$15.50−$9.50
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1600.037$13.13−$42.87
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.6200.135$6.75−$24.25
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0560.126$6.27+$3.48
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1680.122$4.29−$1.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-08 15:40Will Donald Trump visit China on May 16, 2026?BUY0.006$1.00
05-08 11:04Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.12$3.60
05-08 09:41Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?BUY0.011$1.10
05-08 09:29Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?BUY0.3$9.00
05-08 09:29Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?BUY0.3$30.00
05-06 15:19Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.09$1.80
05-06 15:19Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.09$1.80
05-06 10:10US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?BUY0.15$7.50
05-06 10:10US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?BUY0.15$7.50
05-06 02:46Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?BUY0.0164424$1.64
05-06 02:45Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?SELL0.39$11.51
05-06 02:43Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?SELL0.354$26.55
05-06 02:42Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?SELL0.37$4.68
05-06 02:42Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?SELL0.37$8.32
05-05 16:30Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.053$0.90