PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

StayYoung

0xabd1bf358b4e2ceb6c246bc3b0413418c124870e

Realised P&L
$-575.90
Volume
$87.6k
Markets traded
252
Open portfolio
$628.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded252
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0850.182$188.28+$100.89
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No0.1050.540$108.00+$87.00
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0600.545$54.55+$48.55
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1000.038$38.31$61.39
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.6650.125$37.50$162.00
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.6250.185$37.00$88.00
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2390.115$26.45$28.55
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026? · Yes0.1600.070$24.50$31.60
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1600.064$22.23$33.77
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2700.221$22.05$4.95
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0690.198$19.80+$12.88
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2500.162$16.15$8.85
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4530.160$8.80$16.10
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.6200.145$7.25$23.75
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0560.131$6.52+$3.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-08 15:40Will Donald Trump visit China on May 16, 2026?BUY0.006$1.00
05-08 11:04Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.12$3.60
05-08 09:41Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?BUY0.011$1.10
05-08 09:29Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?BUY0.3$9.00
05-08 09:29Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?BUY0.3$30.00
05-06 15:19Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.09$1.80
05-06 15:19Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.09$1.80
05-06 10:10US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?BUY0.15$7.50
05-06 10:10US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?BUY0.15$7.50
05-06 02:46Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?BUY0.0164424$1.64
05-06 02:45Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?SELL0.39$11.51
05-06 02:43Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?SELL0.354$26.55
05-06 02:42Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?SELL0.37$4.68
05-06 02:42Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?SELL0.37$8.32
05-05 16:30Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.053$0.90