StayYoung
0xabd1bf358b4e2ceb6c246bc3b0413418c124870e
- Realised P&L
- $-575.90
- Volume
- $87.6k
- Markets traded
- 252
- Open portfolio
- $628.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded252
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$235.46at 0.248U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
- +$140.98at 0.648Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
- +$111.60at 0.444Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$99.16at 0.358Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$60.50at 0.296US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 15:40 | Will Donald Trump visit China on May 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.00 |
| 05-08 11:04 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.60 |
| 05-08 09:41 | Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.10 |
| 05-08 09:29 | Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $9.00 |
| 05-08 09:29 | Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 05-06 15:19 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 05-06 15:19 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 05-06 10:10 | US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China? | BUY | 0.15 | $7.50 |
| 05-06 10:10 | US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China? | BUY | 0.15 | $7.50 |
| 05-06 02:46 | Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0164424 | $1.64 |
| 05-06 02:45 | Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $11.51 |
| 05-06 02:43 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.354 | $26.55 |
| 05-06 02:42 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.37 | $4.68 |
| 05-06 02:42 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.37 | $8.32 |
| 05-05 16:30 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.053 | $0.90 |