PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Duncs723

0x9f60289e72e091a789ab072b8c8066ddec323a16

Realised P&L
$-60.72
Volume
$26.0k
Markets traded
309
Open portfolio
$304.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded309
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5800.495$14.85$2.55
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4300.605$14.07+$4.07
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3790.512$13.21+$3.45
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.4500.560$12.44+$2.44
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8100.935$11.54+$1.54
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.7600.835$10.99+$0.99
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.2900.305$10.52+$0.52
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4100.415$10.12+$0.12
Will Banksy post to Instagram by September 30? · Yes0.3400.335$9.85$0.15
Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026? · Yes0.1200.115$9.58$0.42
Natural Disaster in 2026? · Yes0.1900.180$9.47$0.53
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · No0.3600.315$8.75$1.25
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · Yes0.2950.255$8.63$1.37
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? · Yes0.6900.845$8.45+$1.55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8400.835$8.35$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 07:37Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati RedsBUY0.32$10.00
09-15 07:36Mauricio Lara vs. Carlos OrnelasSELL0.02$0.10
09-15 07:36Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.92$15.01
09-13 21:08Miami (FL) vs. Wake ForestBUY0.0699999999$10.00
09-13 20:30Syracuse vs. PittsburghBUY0.2399999981$10.00
09-13 19:54Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee BrewersSELL0.6$16.21
09-13 18:03Commanders vs. EaglesBUY0.3099999954$10.00
09-13 18:02Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee BrewersBUY0.3699999867$10.00
09-13 18:00Falcons vs. SteelersBUY0.2599999964$10.00
09-13 15:56Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?SELL0.51$5.10
09-13 08:53Szczecin: Daniel Elahi Galan vs Michael VrbenskySELL0.49$25.79
09-13 07:35Szczecin: Daniel Elahi Galan vs Michael VrbenskyBUY0.1899999998$10.00
09-13 07:07Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?SELL0.4387633885$4.51
09-12 22:24No one announced as next James Bond?SELL0.4589606148$4.78
09-12 22:24Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.57$5.88