PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9F2f33AE7292230766ac257D7C55cC99D50e7c7a-1767805123129

0x9f2f33ae7292230766ac257d7c55cc99d50e7c7a

Realised P&L
$-70.14
Volume
$11.7k
Markets traded
148
Open portfolio
$131.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded148
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.3500.365$15.64+$0.64
Turkish troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0350.071$10.16+$5.16
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9240.970$9.70+$0.46
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2460.191$7.74−$2.26
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1600.022$7.03−$42.97
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? · No0.6200.845$6.81+$1.81
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? · Yes0.0500.065$6.50+$1.50
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? · No0.4800.580$6.04+$1.04
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0240.029$5.94+$0.94
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · No0.3600.405$5.63+$0.63
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? · No0.8800.980$5.57+$0.57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1600.165$5.16+$0.16
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.9200.925$5.03+$0.03
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7900.785$4.97−$0.03
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? · Yes0.0130.011$4.42−$0.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 14:17Will the EU lift its ban on Russian diesel imports by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0393545848$5.00
10-10 14:16Turkish troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0349301395$5.00
10-09 14:54Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 15?BUY0.0520928528$5.00
10-08 13:23Syrian troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0649999999$5.00
10-07 13:24Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by November 30?BUY0.1$5.00
10-04 21:03Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.3499999988$15.00
10-04 20:59Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?BUY0.25$5.00
10-04 20:57Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1099999987$5.00
10-04 20:57Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0239999999$5.00
10-04 20:56Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3599999971$5.00
10-04 20:56Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?BUY0.4799999846$5.00
10-04 20:56Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?BUY0.619999933$5.00
10-04 20:56Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?BUY0.8799999859$5.00
10-04 20:55Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?BUY0.013$5.00
10-04 20:55NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7899999905$5.00