0x9F2f33AE7292230766ac257D7C55cC99D50e7c7a-1767805123129
0x9f2f33ae7292230766ac257d7c55cc99d50e7c7a
- Realised P&L
- $-70.14
- Volume
- $11.7k
- Markets traded
- 148
- Open portfolio
- $131.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded148
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$158.20at 0.112Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
- +$69.81at 0.125Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
- +$46.87at 0.176Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
- +$46.50at 0.240US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
- +$26.41at 0.275Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 14:17 | Will the EU lift its ban on Russian diesel imports by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0393545848 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 14:16 | Turkish troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0349301395 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 14:54 | Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 15? | BUY | 0.0520928528 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 13:23 | Syrian troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0649999999 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 13:24 | Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by November 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 21:03 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.3499999988 | $15.00 |
| 10-04 20:59 | Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 20:57 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1099999987 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 20:57 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0239999999 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 20:56 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 20:56 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 20:56 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.619999933 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 20:56 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 20:55 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | BUY | 0.013 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 20:55 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $5.00 |