M8M8M
0x9d382c105e83e2ed433cac388c366599242d973d
- Realised P&L
- $-32.08
- Volume
- $25.7k
- Markets traded
- 145
- Open portfolio
- $73.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded145
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$165.15at 0.566Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?
- +$143.14at 0.233Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?
- +$90.00at 0.100Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$89.64at 0.104Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $13B and $16B at market close on IPO day?
- +$77.25at 0.567Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 15:58 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2385897202 | $9.77 |
| 07-15 08:07 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 08:04 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 08:03 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.36 | $31.03 |
| 07-12 13:31 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3889999895 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 20:14 | Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Morocco? | BUY | 0.045 | $9.00 |
| 07-07 20:12 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.328 | $9.84 |
| 07-07 20:10 | Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 3 Colombia? | BUY | 0.0479999887 | $3.97 |
| 07-07 20:09 | Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Colombia? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 20:08 | Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.128 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 20:07 | Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.0810000014 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 20:07 | Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.51 | $19.38 |
| 07-07 17:43 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.03 | $6.00 |
| 07-07 17:42 | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0279860043 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 17:41 | Will Egypt be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.1381995032 | $10.00 |