PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

M8M8M

0x9d382c105e83e2ed433cac388c366599242d973d

Realised P&L
$-32.08
Volume
$25.7k
Markets traded
145
Open portfolio
$73.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded145
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Paris Hilton pregnant in 2026? · Yes0.1800.390$39.00+$21.00
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.255$14.17+$4.17
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.055$9.17$0.83
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? · Yes0.1100.046$4.23$5.77
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0710.042$4.20$2.90
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0330.015$1.55$1.75
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0120.009$0.90$0.30
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0100.002$0.15$0.85
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$46.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2130.000$0.00$64.09
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Colombia? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$5.00
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes0.1280.000$0.00$5.00
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00$10.00
Will England win on 2026-07-05? · No0.6100.000$0.00$35.00
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-22 15:58Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.2385897202$9.77
07-15 08:07NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.179999987$10.00
07-15 08:04Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0599999946$10.00
07-15 08:03Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.36$31.03
07-12 13:31Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3889999895$10.00
07-07 20:14Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Morocco?BUY0.045$9.00
07-07 20:12Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.328$9.84
07-07 20:10Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 3 Colombia?BUY0.0479999887$3.97
07-07 20:09Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Colombia?BUY0.0899999845$5.00
07-07 20:08Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.128$5.00
07-07 20:07Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.0810000014$5.00
07-07 20:07Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?SELL0.51$19.38
07-07 17:43Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.03$6.00
07-07 17:42Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0279860043$10.00
07-07 17:41Will Egypt be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?BUY0.1381995032$10.00