0x9C84BFd1D634F5b8Ed670C3C76875e900F38bE53-1781532975295
0x9c84bfd1d634f5b8ed670c3c76875e900f38be53
- Realised P&L
- $-187.85
- Volume
- $16.7k
- Markets traded
- 149
- Open portfolio
- $74.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded149
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)97.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.35at 0.521Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 22?
- +$14.12at 0.218Will Liverpool FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?
- +$14.04at 0.259Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$9.13at 0.351France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$8.87at 0.113Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 09:21 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 10-06 06:04 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.40 |
| 10-05 13:14 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.72 |
| 10-05 13:12 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.05 | $3.00 |
| 10-05 06:12 | Will ICRC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.01 |
| 10-05 06:07 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 06:02 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.014 | $1.01 |
| 10-05 05:59 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.01 |
| 10-05 05:58 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.01345 | $0.97 |
| 10-05 05:58 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.033 | $1.32 |
| 10-05 05:57 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 05:57 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 05:55 | China Open: Donna Vekic vs Iga Swiatek | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 13:19 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25? | BUY | 0.035 | $2.80 |
| 09-20 13:02 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.56 | $16.80 |