PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fabic-ai

0x972dd46e9b3608169065755c880ad6e23efb99aa

Realised P&L
$-608.77
Volume
$21.5k
Markets traded
58
Open portfolio
$419.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded58
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0490.543$223.73+$203.73
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.6370.315$54.40$55.59
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0140.012$45.95$9.05
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026? · No0.6800.945$27.79+$7.79
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1780.030$17.96$87.04
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2430.040$17.03$87.97
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.3570.065$10.02$44.98
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes0.1170.050$8.51$11.49
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.1500.145$4.83$0.17
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2700.033$3.25$23.75
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.1100.065$2.95$2.05
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0260.001$1.16$58.84
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? · Yes0.0610.011$0.90$4.10
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · Yes0.4500.055$0.61$4.39
Curfew in Minneapolis-Saint Paul by Monday? · Yes0.0990.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 19:57Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.2599999935$20.00
07-05 22:29Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0089999997$30.00
07-04 09:50Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.4899999804$5.00
07-04 09:50Mexico to score first vs. England?BUY0.449999955$5.00
07-04 09:47Will France win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.8399999997$200.00
07-04 09:47Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.3099999991$200.00
07-04 09:43Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.3099999907$15.00
07-03 19:59Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1939999753$5.00
07-03 19:54Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.2099999861$10.00
07-03 19:54Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.3099999836$10.00
07-03 19:53Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY0.2699999806$10.00
07-03 19:51Will France win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.8399999966$10.00
04-27 16:25Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.6099999985$100.00
04-27 16:25Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.6099999994$10.00
03-04 12:43Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?BUY0.1299999902$10.00