PYEQUANT
0x95a8e927c9521a68ad3a28a607ab2573a43d1c69
- Realised P&L
- $21.03
- Volume
- $747.26
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $315.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.552 | $115.00 | +$15.00 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? · No | 0.957 | 0.972 | $50.78 | +$0.78 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? · No | 0.922 | 0.931 | $50.51 | +$0.51 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.825 | $49.11 | −$0.89 |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? · Anthropic | 0.900 | 0.920 | $25.56 | +$0.56 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? · No | 0.941 | 0.936 | $19.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will the UK Budget include an increase to capital gains tax? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.425 | $4.33 | −$1.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.48at 0.806S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30?
- +$2.29at 0.787S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?
- +$1.75at 0.738S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?
- +$0.51at 0.952S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 14:52 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7? | SELL | 0.967 | $12.40 |
| 10-07 13:00 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.7799999891 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 19:23 | Will the UK Budget include an increase to capital gains tax? | BUY | 0.5599999765 | $5.71 |
| 10-02 19:15 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $50.00 |
| 10-02 13:02 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 20:42 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? | BUY | 0.9409999611 | $20.00 |
| 10-01 20:34 | Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $25.00 |
| 10-01 19:00 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.9220838174 | $50.00 |
| 10-01 19:00 | Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.9569999995 | $50.00 |
| 10-01 18:47 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999985 | $100.00 |
| 10-01 18:36 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | SELL | 0.87 | $11.91 |
| 10-01 13:23 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 15:33 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30? | SELL | 0.94 | $117.57 |
| 09-30 13:01 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.7995178907 | $100.00 |