eto1lol
0x955118f2d3c3ab2976e7294166832428a7898c45
- Realised P&L
- $2.9k
- Volume
- $244.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,211
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,211
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$261.00at 0.760Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?
- +$108.46at 0.640U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
- +$100.51at 0.801Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02?
- +$89.64at 0.981Raptors vs. Cavaliers
- +$79.01at 0.956Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 13:41 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9649249554 | $175.00 |
| 06-14 22:16 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999996 | $1.4k |
| 05-25 10:38 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $168.54 |
| 05-08 10:54 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.977 | $116.98 |
| 05-07 18:44 | Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30? | BUY | 0.93 | $32.01 |
| 05-07 17:38 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 05-07 15:32 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.979 | $477.60 |
| 05-07 15:28 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 05-07 15:01 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 05-07 15:01 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 05-07 14:04 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 05-07 14:00 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 05-07 01:17 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.43 | $43.00 |
| 05-07 01:10 | Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 05-07 01:07 | Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |