SaracensCapital2
0x94daa3bf531255d6565e937c7249d3918fa12bf1
- Realised P&L
- $-29.7k
- Volume
- $1.84M
- Markets traded
- 283
- Open portfolio
- $18.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded283
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.7kat 0.638Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?
- +$5.7kat 0.524Will Bitcoin dip to $106,000 October 20-26?
- +$4.1kat 0.741Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?
- +$3.5kat 0.940Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
- +$3.1kat 0.725Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 21:11 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton | BUY | 0.28 | $112.00 |
| 08-13 15:15 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.72 | $338.03 |
| 08-05 20:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.52 |
| 08-04 09:31 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? | SELL | 0.82 | $250.10 |
| 08-03 09:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? | BUY | 0.63 | $315.00 |
| 08-02 21:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? | BUY | 0.68 | $558.31 |
| 07-29 10:41 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.7555222761 | $20.8k |
| 07-29 10:37 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.76 | $1.3k |
| 07-29 10:35 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.761 | $648.99 |
| 07-29 10:22 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.77 | $766.65 |
| 07-29 10:09 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.778 | $37.34 |
| 07-16 19:39 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.961 | $95.71 |
| 07-08 15:43 | Bank of England rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $223.19 |
| 06-25 21:33 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.826 | $330.40 |
| 06-24 10:04 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.755 | $302.00 |