PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ajaaja

0x93d44e7cb426a5a1085cc0ce314b8f2befba7345

Realised P&L
$-4.7k
Volume
$507.4k
Markets traded
239
Open portfolio
$12.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded239
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.6260.765$3.8k+$695.02
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · No0.8150.735$2.9k$320.00
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.9060.959$2.6k+$144.75
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7700.835$835.00+$65.00
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? · Yes0.6500.725$725.00+$75.00
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? · No0.5200.655$654.99+$135.00
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? · No0.6800.815$407.49+$67.50
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.710$355.00+$105.00
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8900.972$154.39+$12.95
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? · Yes0.5100.235$96.91$113.41
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool? · Yes0.8590.935$44.34+$3.62
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? · No0.9000.935$28.05+$1.05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes0.0500.007$14.00$86.00
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4200.000$0.00$126.00
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? · Yes0.6400.000$0.00$3.2k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-11 17:15Spread: Germany (-3.5)BUY0.47$705.00
05-21 19:05Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)BUY0.33$165.00
05-21 17:52Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.77$31.85
05-21 15:13Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?BUY0.9784241192$115.53
05-21 14:35Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.052$260.00
05-21 13:18Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?BUY0.98$252.46
05-21 13:16Will Peter Attia be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?BUY0.97$69.70
05-21 08:21OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?BUY0.42$84.00
05-12 16:11Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in May 2026?BUY0.97$1.55
05-09 16:25Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.008$55.17
05-09 16:19Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?BUY0.959$479.50
05-05 19:21Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?BUY0.8586461409$40.72
05-05 16:46Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?BUY0.4199193705$194.26
05-05 16:45Tom Holland as Spider-Man?BUY0.6568875089$294.08
04-30 13:2350m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?BUY0.999$210.44