ajaaja
0x93d44e7cb426a5a1085cc0ce314b8f2befba7345
- Realised P&L
- $-4.7k
- Volume
- $507.4k
- Markets traded
- 239
- Open portfolio
- $12.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded239
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$999.77at 0.474Spread: Germany (-3.5)
- +$640.00at 0.360Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
- +$560.00at 0.440Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Score
- +$544.00at 0.320US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$529.99at 0.470Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 17:15 | Spread: Germany (-3.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $705.00 |
| 05-21 19:05 | Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5) | BUY | 0.33 | $165.00 |
| 05-21 17:52 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.77 | $31.85 |
| 05-21 15:13 | Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | BUY | 0.9784241192 | $115.53 |
| 05-21 14:35 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.052 | $260.00 |
| 05-21 13:18 | Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | BUY | 0.98 | $252.46 |
| 05-21 13:16 | Will Peter Attia be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | BUY | 0.97 | $69.70 |
| 05-21 08:21 | OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.42 | $84.00 |
| 05-12 16:11 | Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in May 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.55 |
| 05-09 16:25 | Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.008 | $55.17 |
| 05-09 16:19 | Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | BUY | 0.959 | $479.50 |
| 05-05 19:21 | Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool? | BUY | 0.8586461409 | $40.72 |
| 05-05 16:46 | Mark Ruffalo as Hulk? | BUY | 0.4199193705 | $194.26 |
| 05-05 16:45 | Tom Holland as Spider-Man? | BUY | 0.6568875089 | $294.08 |
| 04-30 13:23 | 50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $210.44 |