PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

pingo

0x936c860d5eb264436dc71bb2d127bc666eeae413

Realised P&L
$-55.06
Volume
$21.4k
Markets traded
89
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded89
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Revolut IPO before 2027? · No0.9500.978$205.79+$5.79
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No0.9460.990$197.90+$8.70
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · No0.9300.975$116.94+$5.34
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9180.971$105.70+$5.70
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · No0.9000.905$100.56+$0.56
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8940.978$97.75+$8.35
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.977$97.70+$3.70
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI? · Yes0.4990.490$83.30−$1.60
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? · No0.9670.992$29.75+$0.74
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.3500.190$19.00−$16.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1500.165$11.00+$1.00
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.0600.059$9.71−$0.29
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OPAI? · Yes0.2800.350$3.15+$0.63
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.1760.012$0.34−$4.66
Will Trump say "SpaceX" during remarks at NASA? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 22:04Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.1499999993$10.00
10-03 12:45Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?BUY0.9$100.00
10-01 19:03US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?BUY0.1299999999$10.00
10-01 12:49Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OPAI?BUY0.28$2.52
09-28 13:52Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.57$5.70
09-18 22:07Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?BUY0.9$100.00
09-14 13:58Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?BUY0.0602467247$10.00
09-10 00:21LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.2678959591$40.37
09-09 23:00Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.969$484.50
09-09 22:58Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.166$5.61
09-09 13:26LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.1327014215$20.00
09-03 23:56Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.1764150714$5.00
09-03 23:02Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between September 7 and September 13, 2026?BUY0.526999977$10.00
08-28 19:51Anthropic IPO before 2027?BUY0.9296945953$200.00
08-28 14:23Will Trump say "SpaceX" during remarks at NASA?BUY0.12$6.00