pingo
0x936c860d5eb264436dc71bb2d127bc666eeae413
- Realised P&L
- $-55.06
- Volume
- $21.4k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.44at 0.966Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
- +$40.90at 0.886Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- +$39.00at 0.560Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?
- +$34.13at 0.597Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score
- +$27.64at 0.838Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 22:04 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1499999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 12:45 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $100.00 |
| 10-01 19:03 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 12:49 | Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OPAI? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.52 |
| 09-28 13:52 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $5.70 |
| 09-18 22:07 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $100.00 |
| 09-14 13:58 | Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0602467247 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 00:21 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.2678959591 | $40.37 |
| 09-09 23:00 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.969 | $484.50 |
| 09-09 22:58 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.166 | $5.61 |
| 09-09 13:26 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1327014215 | $20.00 |
| 09-03 23:56 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.1764150714 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 23:02 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between September 7 and September 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.526999977 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 19:51 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.9296945953 | $200.00 |
| 08-28 14:23 | Will Trump say "SpaceX" during remarks at NASA? | BUY | 0.12 | $6.00 |