Basdon
0x928e6b662e3b811ad83c28cb82de79ac8f2e54d7
- Realised P&L
- $4.53
- Volume
- $6.5k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $796.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.35at 0.873Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
- +$9.96at 0.721Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?
- +$8.63at 0.766Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?
- +$6.23at 0.180Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
- +$5.42at 0.480Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 07:31 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.35 |
| 05-14 22:29 | No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30? | BUY | 0.09 | $4.50 |
| 03-31 09:26 | Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 03-27 09:28 | Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | SELL | 0.48 | $2.66 |
| 03-23 10:36 | Bank of England rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 03-23 10:31 | Bank of England rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $46.00 |
| 03-23 10:28 | Bank of England rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 03-23 10:27 | Bank of England rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 03-23 09:42 | Bank of England rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999875 | $5.59 |
| 03-22 10:26 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.3699999112 | $2.00 |
| 03-22 10:26 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2749999106 | $2.00 |
| 03-20 00:59 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BUY | 0.3099999364 | $2.00 |
| 03-20 00:57 | Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $2.00 |
| 03-12 16:35 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 03-12 16:26 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |