Basdon
0x928e6b662e3b811ad83c28cb82de79ac8f2e54d7
- Realised P&L
- $-155.85
- Volume
- $6.5k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.96at 0.721Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?
- +$8.63at 0.766Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?
- +$6.23at 0.180Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
- +$5.42at 0.480Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$3.50at 0.690Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 07:31 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.35 |
| 05-14 22:29 | No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30? | BUY | 0.09 | $4.50 |
| 03-31 09:26 | Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 03-27 09:28 | Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | SELL | 0.48 | $2.66 |
| 03-23 10:36 | Bank of England rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 03-23 10:31 | Bank of England rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $46.00 |
| 03-23 10:28 | Bank of England rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 03-23 10:27 | Bank of England rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 03-23 09:42 | Bank of England rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999875 | $5.59 |
| 03-22 10:26 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.3699999112 | $2.00 |
| 03-22 10:26 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2749999106 | $2.00 |
| 03-20 00:59 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BUY | 0.3099999364 | $2.00 |
| 03-20 00:57 | Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $2.00 |
| 03-12 16:35 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 03-12 16:26 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |