PolyBot

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Traders

Basdon

0x928e6b662e3b811ad83c28cb82de79ac8f2e54d7

Realised P&L
$4.53
Volume
$6.5k
Markets traded
53
Open portfolio
$796.48

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded53
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.8280.981$771.48+$120.10
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No0.9330.992$14.87+$0.88
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · Yes0.5300.785$2.96+$0.96
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3700.374$2.02+$0.02
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2750.203$1.48−$0.52
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.2400.055$1.15−$3.85
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2900.055$0.95−$4.05
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? · Yes0.1300.036$0.56−$1.44
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.023$0.34−$1.00
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes0.1700.040$0.24−$0.76
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? · Yes0.2100.048$0.23−$0.77
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? · Yes0.4000.032$0.08−$0.92
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? · Yes0.2300.017$0.07−$0.93
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? · Yes0.1600.008$0.05−$0.95
Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-21 07:31Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$1.35
05-14 22:29No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?BUY0.09$4.50
03-31 09:26Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?BUY0.39$3.90
03-27 09:28Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?SELL0.48$2.66
03-23 10:36Bank of England rate hike in 2026?BUY0.93$9.30
03-23 10:31Bank of England rate hike in 2026?BUY0.92$46.00
03-23 10:28Bank of England rate hike in 2026?BUY0.91$9.10
03-23 10:27Bank of England rate hike in 2026?BUY0.89$8.90
03-23 09:42Bank of England rate hike in 2026?BUY0.8699999875$5.59
03-22 10:26Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.3699999112$2.00
03-22 10:26Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.2749999106$2.00
03-20 00:59Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?BUY0.3099999364$2.00
03-20 00:57Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?BUY0.5299998781$2.00
03-12 16:35Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?BUY0.001$1.00
03-12 16:26Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY0.001$1.00