ScientiaRex
0x8f0b2957d8c0ef47609fd01e42959fa6c70e8be2
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $89.8k
- Markets traded
- 99
- Open portfolio
- $19.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded99
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$230.86at 0.723US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31?
- +$187.48at 0.925Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?
- +$143.75at 0.884Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026?
- +$114.82at 0.688French forces seize another oil tanker by Feb 28?
- +$112.03at 0.728NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 11:15 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $32.30 |
| 09-20 11:15 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $72.20 |
| 09-20 11:14 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $51.00 |
| 09-20 11:13 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $176.40 |
| 09-20 11:12 | Will US annex any territory in 2026? | BUY | 0.942 | $92.95 |
| 09-20 11:11 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | SELL | 0.9765081841 | $101.42 |
| 09-20 11:11 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.88 | $291.81 |
| 09-19 14:12 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.87 | $52.20 |
| 09-19 14:12 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.85 | $51.00 |
| 09-19 14:10 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $85.00 |
| 09-19 14:09 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 09-19 14:06 | Pakistan military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9475449851 | $200.00 |
| 09-19 14:05 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | SELL | 0.983 | $151.55 |
| 09-19 14:04 | Russia coup attempt in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $91.31 |
| 09-19 14:03 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $225.66 |