PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

luckysplit

0x8e7aa1b88993fe2ac3eb15940691a46ab4030f0e

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$247.3k
Markets traded
1,015
Open portfolio
$718.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,015
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.7880.995$177.29+$36.79
Blue tsunami in 2026? · No0.6750.495$148.50$54.00
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? · No0.8300.900$90.00+$7.00
Blue wave in 2026? · No0.2700.155$83.16$61.75
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.4500.345$69.00$21.00
Makina FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.9000.906$45.33+$0.33
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? · Yes0.1500.145$20.94$0.72
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1800.082$20.50$24.60
Natural Disaster in 2026? · Yes0.3200.160$16.00$16.00
5kt meteor strike in 2026? · Yes0.3600.270$10.80$3.60
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0790.088$8.85+$0.95
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? · No0.6200.790$7.90+$1.70
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · Yes0.1840.030$5.22$26.77
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.5600.065$3.25$24.75
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0250.026$2.65+$0.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 02:37Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.045$1.80
09-14 02:35Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.9340682602$186.79
04-15 03:30Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.62$62.00
03-24 11:24US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?SELL0.87$87.00
03-24 02:32Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETBUY0.46$8.92
03-24 02:09Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETBUY0.54$5.23
03-23 04:15Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETBUY0.44$8.53
03-23 04:10Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETSELL0.05$1.00
03-23 04:10Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETBUY0.05$1.00
03-23 03:49Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.45$8.72
03-23 03:22Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETBUY0.4$3.88
03-23 03:13Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETBUY0.319$3.11
03-23 03:12Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETBUY0.82$16.22
03-23 03:00Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETBUY0.39$3.79
03-23 02:33Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?BUY0.35$2.82