luckysplit
0x8e7aa1b88993fe2ac3eb15940691a46ab4030f0e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $247.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,015
- Open portfolio
- $718.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,015
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$737.80at 0.062Will the government shutdown end November 13?
- +$455.00at 0.180Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$365.10at 0.538Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
- +$339.30at 0.130Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$220.08at 0.180Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 02:37 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.045 | $1.80 |
| 09-14 02:35 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.9340682602 | $186.79 |
| 04-15 03:30 | Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.62 | $62.00 |
| 03-24 11:24 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | SELL | 0.87 | $87.00 |
| 03-24 02:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.46 | $8.92 |
| 03-24 02:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $5.23 |
| 03-23 04:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.44 | $8.53 |
| 03-23 04:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET | SELL | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 03-23 04:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 03-23 03:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $8.72 |
| 03-23 03:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $3.88 |
| 03-23 03:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.319 | $3.11 |
| 03-23 03:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.82 | $16.22 |
| 03-23 03:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.39 | $3.79 |
| 03-23 02:33 | Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $2.82 |