departamentoin
0x8e69c7e17c87a41ea246329c1a956e4c05e4b21f
- Realised P&L
- $-63.55
- Volume
- $20.9k
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $62.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.52at 0.523Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?
- +$4.38at 0.258OpenAI IPO before 2027?
- +$3.34at 0.477Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
- +$3.32at 0.237Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
- +$3.27at 0.009Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 07:39 | Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 07:30 | U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 07:29 | Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | BUY | 0.0389999635 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 07:29 | Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 06-18 22:02 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.8099999757 | $1.00 |
| 06-18 22:01 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 06-18 21:14 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.4699999702 | $3.00 |
| 06-18 21:13 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 21:11 | OpenAI IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.45 | $10.80 |
| 06-15 06:11 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-15 06:11 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.025999975 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 21:41 | Will Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? | BUY | 0.0289999856 | $2.00 |
| 06-12 21:38 | NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.009865294 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 19:38 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.8699992344 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 15:48 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |