PolyBot

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Traders

departamentoin

0x8e69c7e17c87a41ea246329c1a956e4c05e4b21f

Realised P&L
$-63.55
Volume
$20.9k
Markets traded
90
Open portfolio
$62.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded90
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.1120.429$38.35+$28.35
Will Citizens’ Movement (MC) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? · Yes0.0330.022$3.30−$1.70
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.036$2.74−$3.26
Obama divorce before 2027? · Yes0.0920.026$1.73−$4.27
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? · Yes0.0390.048$1.23+$0.23
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? · Yes0.0600.070$1.17+$0.17
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.225$1.07+$0.07
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? · Yes0.2800.095$1.02−$1.98
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.026$0.99−$5.01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1800.175$0.97−$0.03
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? · Yes0.1200.049$0.97−$1.43
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1900.183$0.97−$0.03
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.1500.026$0.88−$4.12
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.2500.085$0.85−$1.65
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1370.098$0.72−$0.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 07:39Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?BUY0.1$1.00
09-06 07:30U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?BUY0.1$1.00
09-06 07:29Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? BUY0.0389999635$1.00
09-06 07:29Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?BUY0.059999946$1.00
06-18 22:02Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.8099999757$1.00
06-18 22:01Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
06-18 21:14Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?BUY0.4699999702$3.00
06-18 21:13Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.08$5.00
06-18 21:11OpenAI IPO before 2027?SELL0.45$10.80
06-15 06:11US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?BUY0.001$1.00
06-15 06:11Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.025999975$1.00
06-12 21:41Will Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?BUY0.0289999856$2.00
06-12 21:38NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?BUY0.009865294$1.00
06-11 19:38Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY0.8699992344$1.00
06-11 15:48Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.001$1.00